Sport Picks
Martina Calcio vs Virtus Francavilla - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Italy
Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 
Match Events
38'
38'
D'Urso C.
45'
45'
Ahmetaj M.
56'
56'
Carretta M.
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 game between Martina Calcio and Virtus Francavilla finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Virtus Francavilla.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Martina Calcio
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- Virtus Francavilla haven't matched Martina Calcio's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Martina Calcio's way, sitting at 40%.
- Regular Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Martina Calcio Clean Sheet 68%
Virtus Francavilla Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Martina Calcio | Virtus Francavilla |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 17 | 15 |
| Draws | 5 | 8 |
| Losses | 7 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.69 | 1.48 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 20, 2026 Serie D - Group H
Martina Calcio vs Virtus Francavilla
1:2
Jan 18, 2026 Serie D - Group H
Martina Calcio vs Virtus Francavilla
0:4
Sep 21, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Virtus Francavilla vs Martina Calcio
1:1
Mar 9, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Virtus Francavilla vs Martina Calcio
1:1
Nov 13, 2024 Coppa Italia Serie D
Virtus Francavilla vs Martina Calcio
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Martina Calcio Compare
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Virtus Francavilla Compare
Top Goalscorer D'Urso C.
1 Goals Assists Leader Ahmetaj M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Martina Calcio 50 / 100
Virtus Francavilla 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Martina Calcio Virtus Francavilla
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Martina Calcio Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Martina Calcio scored in 83% of their last 29 games.
Virtus Francavilla let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
Martina Calcio has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Martina Calcio VS Virtus Francavilla
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Martina Calcio
(Home) 04 Oct
Martina Calcio
1 : 0 Francavilla
27 Sept
A.C.D. Nardo
0 : 3 Martina Calcio
20 Sept
Martina Calcio
1 : 2 Virtus Francavilla
16 Sept
Real Normanna
1 : 2 Martina Calcio
13 Sept
Martina Calcio
2 : 0 Real Forio 2014
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Martina Calcio
1 : 0 Francavilla
20 Sept
Martina Calcio
1 : 2 Virtus Francavilla
13 Sept
Martina Calcio
2 : 0 Real Forio 2014
17 May
Martina Calcio
0 : 1 Paganese
10 May
Martina Calcio
2 : 1 A.C.D. Nardo
Page 1 of 3
Virtus Francavilla
(Away) 07 Oct
Virtus Francavilla
3 : 0 Gravina
04 Oct
Gravina
4 : 2 Virtus Francavilla
27 Sept
Virtus Francavilla
2 : 1 San Felice Gladiator
20 Sept
Martina Calcio
1 : 2 Virtus Francavilla
16 Sept
Virtus Francavilla
2 : 1 Brindisi
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Gravina
4 : 2 Virtus Francavilla
20 Sept
Martina Calcio
1 : 2 Virtus Francavilla
13 Sept
Melfi
0 : 1 Virtus Francavilla
26 Apr
Pompei
4 : 1 Virtus Francavilla
02 Apr
Afragolese
2 : 2 Virtus Francavilla
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barletta | 34 | 20 | 10 | 4 | 54:20 | 70 |
| 2 | Martina Calcio | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 47:30 | 62 |
| 3 | Citta di Fasano | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 51:35 | 62 |
| 4 | Paganese | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 36:32 | 58 |
| 5 | A.C.D. Nardo | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 40:27 | 55 |
| 6 | Gravina | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 50:40 | 55 |
| 7 | Afragolese | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 45:46 | 49 |
| 8 | Fidelis Andria | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 35:28 | 48 |
| 9 | Virtus Francavilla | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 45:40 | 48 |
| 10 | Real Normanna | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 27:26 | 43 |
| 11 | Francavilla | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 39:38 | 43 |
| 12 | Manfredonia | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 34:39 | 43 |
| 13 | Sarnese | 34 | 9 | 14 | 11 | 51:49 | 41 |
| 14 | SS Nola 1925 | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 42:50 | 41 |
| 15 | Heraclea | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 31:39 | 38 |
| 16 | Pompei | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 26:38 | 34 |
| 17 | Ferrandina | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 21:43 | 30 |
| 18 | Acerrana | 34 | 3 | 5 | 26 | 20:74 | 14 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 (Play Out)
