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Martinique vs El Salvador - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Nations League Stade Pierre-Aliker, Fort-de-France
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Valladares J.
Assist: Vasquez Velasquez L. S.
9'
Cerritos M.
28'
Varane J.

AI Match Summary

The CONCACAF Nations League game between Martinique and El Salvador finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Martinique
30%
Draws
39%
El Salvador
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: El Salvador

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • El Salvador carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Martinique's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Martinique Clean Sheet 20%
El Salvador Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Martinique El Salvador
Matches Played 30 40
Wins 8 13
Draws 10 12
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.03 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 5, 2026 CONCACAF Nations League
Martinique vs El Salvador
1:1
Sep 26, 2026 CONCACAF Nations League
El Salvador vs Martinique
3:1
Mar 29, 2026 CONCACAF Series
Martinique vs El Salvador
0:1
Oct 18, 2023 CONCACAF Nations League
El Salvador vs Martinique
0:0
Oct 13, 2023 CONCACAF Nations League
Martinique vs El Salvador
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Martinique Compare

Top Goalscorer Antiste J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

El Salvador Compare

Top Goalscorer Valladares J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Martinique 76 / 100
El Salvador 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Martinique El Salvador

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Martinique Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 5:4
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Martinique found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

El Salvador has conceded goals in 70% of their last 40 outings.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Recent resilience: Martinique stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Martinique VS El Salvador
0.75 Goals Scored 0.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Martinique

(Home)
05 Oct
Martinique
1 : 1
El Salvador
03 Oct
Martinique
2 : 1
Honduras
28 Sept
Suriname
2 : 1
Martinique
26 Sept
El Salvador
3 : 1
Martinique
29 Mar
Martinique
0 : 1
El Salvador
Page 1 of 6

El Salvador

(Away)
05 Oct
Martinique
1 : 1
El Salvador
03 Oct
El Salvador
0 : 2
Jamaica
29 Sept
Guatemala
6 : 0
El Salvador
26 Sept
El Salvador
3 : 1
Martinique
10 Jul
Club Tijuana
2 : 2
El Salvador
Page 1 of 8

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Curacao 4 3 1 0 12:5 10
2 Haiti 4 3 0 1 9:5 9
3 Dominican Republic 4 3 0 1 8:8 9
4 Costa Rica 4 2 0 2 8:6 6
5 Trinidad & Tobago 4 0 1 3 4:7 1
6 Nicaragua 4 0 0 4 4:14 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League (League A - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guatemala 4 2 1 1 9:3 7
2 Jamaica 4 2 1 1 6:4 7
3 Suriname 4 2 1 1 5:4 7
4 Honduras 4 1 1 2 5:6 4
5 Martinique 4 1 1 2 5:7 4
6 El Salvador 4 1 1 2 4:10 4
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League (League A - Play Offs)