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Stadium Background

Martos vs River Melilla

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 9 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 9 2016/2017 game between Martos and River Melilla finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Martos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Martos
15%
Draws
0%
River Melilla
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Martos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Martos come out ahead of River Melilla on wins alone.
  • Model gives Martos a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 9 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Martos have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Martos Clean Sheet 20%
River Melilla Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Martos River Melilla
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 9 2
Draws 8 0
Losses 14 28
Goals Scored 0.94 0.67
Goals Conceded 1.42 3.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 23, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Martos vs River Melilla
2:0
Oct 24, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
River Melilla vs Martos
1:2
Jan 8, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Martos vs River Melilla
2:1
Sep 3, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
River Melilla vs Martos
1:0
Feb 13, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
River Melilla vs Martos
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Martos 85 / 100
River Melilla 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Martos River Melilla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Martos Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

River Melilla has conceded goals in 97% of their last 30 outings.

River Melilla's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Martos found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (31 games).

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Scoring Trends

Martos VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Martos

(Home)
10 May
Huetor Vega
4 : 0
Martos
03 May
Martos
1 : 0
Huetor Tajar
25 Apr
Melilla B
5 : 1
Martos
19 Apr
Motril
2 : 0
Martos
12 Apr
Martos
0 : 0
Mijas Las Lagunas
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River Melilla

(Away)
19 May
UD San Pedro
3 : 2
River Melilla
11 May
River Melilla
0 : 3
Antequera
04 May
Torremolinos
5 : 0
River Melilla
01 May
River Melilla
2 : 5
Loja
27 Apr
River Melilla
1 : 5
Alhaurin
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Malaga B 38 28 6 4 107:34 90
2 Antequera 38 23 6 9 70:38 75
3 Almeria B 38 21 8 9 61:36 71
4 Huetor Tajar 38 21 8 9 73:48 71
5 Motril 38 21 7 10 71:43 70
6 Loja 38 20 6 12 63:41 66
7 Rincon 38 16 9 13 49:52 57
8 El Palo 38 16 8 14 64:57 56
9 Martos 38 15 8 15 57:54 53
10 Guadix 38 14 9 15 47:51 51
11 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno 38 14 6 18 41:51 48
12 Maracena 38 12 10 16 50:54 46
13 UD San Pedro 37 11 12 14 42:49 45
14 Atarfe Industrial 37 11 12 14 42:59 45
15 Velez 38 12 8 18 44:64 44
16 Huetor Vega 38 10 14 14 45:55 44
17 River Melilla 38 10 10 18 47:67 40
18 CD Alhaurino 38 7 10 21 37:67 31
19 Dos Hermanas 38 7 7 24 48:88 28
20 Alhaurin 38 3 10 25 39:89 19
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2016/2017 (Main)