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Marumo Gallants vs Stellenbosch FC

South Africa South Africa

Carling Knockout Thohoyandou Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Marumo Gallants play Stellenbosch FC in the Carling Knockout. It looks like a close match. Recently, Marumo Gallants averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.23 conceded. Stellenbosch FC averaged 0.94 goals scored and 1.21 conceded. In past meetings, Marumo Gallants won 2, Stellenbosch FC won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 23, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.94 for Marumo Gallants and 1.25 for Stellenbosch FC. This points to a Stellenbosch FC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Marumo Gallants
30%
Draws
40%
Stellenbosch FC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Stellenbosch FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • Marumo Gallants picked up more points recently compared to Stellenbosch FC.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.94 vs 1.25 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 62%
Over 2.5 Goals 33%
Over 3.5 Goals 20%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42%
Marumo Gallants Clean Sheet 19%
Stellenbosch FC Clean Sheet 16%
First Half Goal 56%
Second Half Goal 59%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marumo Gallants Stellenbosch FC
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 5 11
Draws 12 10
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 0.8 0.94
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Betway Premiership
Marumo Gallants vs Stellenbosch FC
0:0
Oct 29, 2025 Carling Knockout
Marumo Gallants vs Stellenbosch FC
4:0
Aug 26, 2025 Betway Premiership
Stellenbosch FC vs Marumo Gallants
1:0
Mar 4, 2025 Betway Premiership
Marumo Gallants vs Stellenbosch FC
0:1
Nov 3, 2024 Carling Knockout
Marumo Gallants vs Stellenbosch FC
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Marumo Gallants Compare

Top Goalscorer Ndlondlo N.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Mpambaniso M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Stellenbosch FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marumo Gallants 31 / 100
Stellenbosch FC 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marumo Gallants Stellenbosch FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Stellenbosch FC or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +36.5%
4.55
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +22.1%
3.70
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Marumo Gallants attacking → ← attacking Stellenbosch FC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Marumo Gallants scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Stellenbosch FC let in goals in 74% of their last 34 matches.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Marumo Gallants went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Stellenbosch FC lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

27 Points in last 5 43
0.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25