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Marupe vs Beitar

Latvia Latvia

Latvian Cup 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

45'
Kuzmins V.
46'
Sub
Kholmetskyi Y. In: Zaharovs K.
Out: Kholmetskyi Y.
46'
Sub
Grimze M. In: Botchei G.
Out: Grimze M.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with Beitar advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Marupe
15%
Draws
42%
Beitar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Marupe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Beitar haven't matched Marupe's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Beitar's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Marupe have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Beitar, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Marupe Clean Sheet 20%
Beitar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marupe Beitar
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 15 14
Draws 2 2
Losses 19 14
Goals Scored 1.44 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.61 2.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 15, 2023 Latvian Cup
Marupe vs Beitar
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Marupe Compare

Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Beitar Compare

Top Goalscorer Hvoinickis D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marupe 24 / 100
Beitar 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marupe Beitar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Beitar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Beitar has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Attacking prowess: Marupe scored in 64% of their last 36 outings.

Beitar's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Marupe VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Marupe

(Home)
22 Aug
Valmiera
4 : 1
Marupe
15 Aug
Marupe
2 : 1
Super Nova 2
08 Aug
Marupe
0 : 1
Leevon PPK
01 Aug
Skanste
4 : 2
Marupe
25 Jul
Rezekne
1 : 2
Marupe
Page 1 of 8

Beitar

(Away)
12 Nov
Rezekne
2 : 1
Beitar
04 Nov
Beitar
0 : 4
JFK Ventspils
28 Oct
Beitar
3 : 0
Dinamo Riga
22 Oct
Tukums 2000 2
2 : 1
Beitar
08 Oct
Beitar
2 : 0
Saldus SS/Leevon
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
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FK Auda Riga -
Kekava-Auda -
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FK Alberts -
Iecava -
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Rigas Futbola Skola -
Augsdaugavas -
TBD -
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Betsafe -
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Saldus SS/Leevon -
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Riga FC -
FK Metta -
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FK Liepaja -
Aliance -
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Kadaga/Ostas 2
Namejs 1
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Dinamo Riga -
Valka -
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Marupe -
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Skanste -
DSVK Traktors -
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Upesciema Warriors -
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FK Smiltene -
Beitar -
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Madona/BJSS -
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Lielupe 3
FK Varaklani 0
Valmiera -
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Super Nova -
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Sigulda 2
Sports United/Cesis 3
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Bebri -
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Grobina -
AFA Olaine -
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JFK Ventspils -
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Tukums 2000 -
Jelgava -
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RFS -
Salaspils FK -
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Jekabpils SC -
Plavinas -
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FK Limbazi -
Ogre United -
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LSPA -
Riga United -
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RSU -
FK Union -
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Dobele Allegro 1
FK Ludza 0
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Alberts JDFS -
Rezekne -
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RTU 0
JFC Viola 3
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JFK Daugava -
1/64-finals
BFC Daugavpils -
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FK Auda Riga -
Kekava-Auda 5
FK Alberts 1
Iecava 0
Rigas Futbola Skola 2
Augsdaugavas 1
Betsafe 2
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Saldus SS/Leevon -
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Riga FC -
FK Metta -
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FK Liepaja -
Aliance 4
Kadaga/Ostas 0
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Dinamo Riga -
Valka 0
Marupe 7
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Skanste -
DSVK Traktors 0
Upesciema Warriors 1
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FK Smiltene -
Beitar -
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Madona/BJSS 0
Lielupe 1
Valmiera -
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Super Nova -
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Sports United/Cesis 4
Bebri 1
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Grobina -
AFA Olaine -
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JFK Ventspils -
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Tukums 2000 -
Jelgava -
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RFS -
Salaspils FK 1
Jekabpils SC 3
Plavinas 0
FK Limbazi 3
Ogre United 2
LSPA 1
Riga United 3
RSU 2
FK Union 4
Dobele Allegro 1
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Alberts JDFS -
Rezekne -
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JFC Viola 3
JFK Daugava 4
1/32-finals
BFC Daugavpils -
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FK Auda Riga -
Kekava-Auda 2
Rigas Futbola Skola 4
Betsafe 1
Saldus SS/Leevon 0
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Riga FC -
FK Metta -
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FK Liepaja -
Aliance 0
Dinamo Riga 2
Marupe 2
Skanste 0
Upesciema Warriors 0
FK Smiltene 2
Beitar 5
Lielupe 3
Valmiera -
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Super Nova -
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Sports United/Cesis 0
Grobina 7
AFA Olaine 4
JFK Ventspils 0
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Tukums 2000 -
Jelgava -
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RFS -
Jekabpils SC -
FK Limbazi -
Ogre United 4
Riga United 0
FK Union 0
Alberts JDFS 10
Rezekne 4
JFK Daugava 1
1/16-finals
BFC Daugavpils -
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FK Auda Riga -
Rigas Futbola Skola 1
Betsafe 2
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Riga FC -
FK Metta -
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FK Liepaja -
Dinamo Riga 0
Marupe 11
FK Smiltene 1
Beitar 3
Valmiera -
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Super Nova -
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Grobina 2
AFA Olaine 3
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Tukums 2000 -
Jelgava -
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RFS -
Jekabpils SC 3
Ogre United 1
Alberts JDFS 8
Rezekne 0
1/8-finals
BFC Daugavpils 1
FK Auda Riga 4
Betsafe 0
Riga FC 5
FK Metta 2
FK Liepaja 3
Marupe 0
Beitar 1
Valmiera 2
Super Nova 0
AFA Olaine 1
Tukums 2000 3
Jelgava 0
RFS 3
Jekabpils SC 0
Alberts JDFS 6
Quarter-finals
FK Auda Riga 0
Riga FC 4
FK Liepaja 7
Beitar 0
Valmiera 0
Tukums 2000 1
RFS 4
Alberts JDFS 1
Semi-finals
Riga FC 2
FK Liepaja 1
Tukums 2000 1
RFS 3
Final
Riga FC 2
RFS 1