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Marupe vs Grobina

Latvia Latvia

Latvian Cup Jaunmārupes stadions
Our Tip

Match Events

1'
Sub
Rascevskis O. In: Baravykas R.
Out: Rascevskis O.
46'
Sub
Sirbu D. In: Puzirevskis A.
Out: Sirbu D.
56'
Sub
Zengis R. In: Minasyan A.
Out: Zengis R.

AI Match Summary

Grobina in this Latvian Cup matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Grobina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Marupe
30%
Draws
34%
Grobina
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Marupe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Marupe lately — more wins on the board than Grobina.
  • Model gives Marupe a 36% chance of winning this.
  • It's a cup tie, so expect more urgency than a normal Latvian Cup game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Marupe Clean Sheet 20%
Grobina Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marupe Grobina
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 7
Draws 2 10
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1.75 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 Latvian Cup
Marupe vs Grobina
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Marupe Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Grobina Compare

Top Goalscorer Corryn M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marupe 36 / 100
Grobina 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marupe Grobina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Marupe scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Grobina conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Marupe went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Marupe VS Grobina
1.75 Goals Scored 0.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
RFK/RFS0
Riga Mariners11
Iecava0
Alberts JDFS5
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
BFC Daugavpils-
LSPA1
FK Smiltene5
Valmiera2
Skanste0
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Ogre United-
FK Auda Riga-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
FK Liepaja-
JFC Viola1
Marupe2
Valka1
Aliance5
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Grobina-
Tukums 2000-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Super Nova-
RFS-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Jelgava-
Upesciema Warriors0
JFK Ventspils3
DSVK Traktors3
Leevon PPK5
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Riga FC-
Lielupe0
FK Metta6
Kekava-Auda2
Rezekne1
Saldus NSS0
Salaspils FK4
Speks6
FK Union / JFK Daugava0
1/16-finals
Riga Mariners1
Alberts JDFS0
TBD-
BFC Daugavpils-
FK Smiltene1
Valmiera4
TBD-
Ogre United-
FK Auda Riga-
TBD-
TBD-
FK Liepaja-
Marupe4
Aliance2
TBD-
Grobina-
Tukums 2000-
TBD-
TBD-
Super Nova-
RFS-
TBD-
TBD-
Jelgava-
JFK Ventspils1
Leevon PPK3
TBD-
Riga FC-
FK Metta5
Kekava-Auda0
Salaspils FK1
Speks3
1/8-finals
Riga Mariners3
BFC Daugavpils4
Valmiera2
Ogre United4
FK Auda Riga1
FK Liepaja0
Marupe0
Grobina1
Tukums 20001
Super Nova2
RFS2
Jelgava0
Leevon PPK2
Riga FC3
FK Metta3
Speks1
Quarter-finals
BFC Daugavpils-
Ogre United-
FK Auda Riga-
Grobina-
Super Nova-
RFS-
Riga FC-
FK Metta-
Semi-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Final
TBD-
TBD-