Sport Picks

Latvia

Nakotnes liga

Marupe

4 - 0

Rezekne

Our Tip

Match Events

13'

Oliynyk M.

74'

Korsaks K.

83'

Krievins R.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Marupe in this Nakotnes liga matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Marupe.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%

Marupe

17%

Draws

13%

Rezekne

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Marupe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence

Marupe have won more games recently than Rezekne.
Win probability leans Marupe's way, sitting at 70%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 88%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 38%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%

Marupe Clean Sheet 18%

Rezekne Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Marupe	Rezekne
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	13	6
Draws	2	6
Losses	14	17
Goals Scored	1.88	1.13
Goals Conceded	1.5	2.25
Expected Goals (xG)	1.88	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.50	2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Nakotnes liga

Marupe vs Rezekne

Possession: 54% - 58% Cards: 3 - 1

4:0

Oct 5, 2025 Nakotnes liga

Rezekne vs Marupe

Possession: 48% - 46% Cards: 2 - 1

2:1

May 24, 2025 Nakotnes liga

Marupe vs Rezekne

Possession: 42% - 52% Cards: 4 - 1

1:1

Oct 19, 2024 Nakotnes liga

Marupe vs Rezekne

Possession: 46% - 50% Cards: 1 - 1

1:1

Jun 30, 2024 Nakotnes liga

Rezekne vs Marupe

Possession: 45% - 45% Cards: 2 - 3

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Marupe Compare

Top Goalscorer Krievins R.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Oliynyk M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.45

Avg xA / game 0.94

Rezekne Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03

Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marupe 67 / 100

Rezekne 14 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Marupe Rezekne

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAR Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Rezekne conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.

Marupe found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Recent resilience: Marupe stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Marupe VS Rezekne

1.88 Goals Scored 1.13

1.5 Goals Conceded 2.25

88% Over 1.5 88%

75% Over 2.5 75%

38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	FK Metta	12	10	1	1	42:11	31
2	Valmiera	12	9	2	1	32:12	29
3	Riga Mariners	12	8	4	0	25:10	28
4	Leevon PPK	12	7	3	2	20:15	24
5	Alberts JDFS	12	6	2	4	25:20	20
6	Marupe	12	6	1	5	22:15	19
7	Super Nova 2	12	5	4	3	19:17	19
8	Riga FC 2	12	5	1	6	19:22	16
9	Skanste	12	4	1	7	20:24	13
10	JFK Ventspils	12	2	4	6	15:20	10
11	RFS 2	12	2	3	7	15:26	9
12	Tukums 2000 2	12	2	2	8	16:31	8
13	Rezekne	12	1	2	9	10:36	5
14	FK Smiltene	12	0	4	8	12:33	4