Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Marupe vs Rezekne

Latvia Latvia

1. Liga
Marupe Logo

Marupe

4 - 0
FT
Rezekne Logo

Rezekne

Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Oliynyk M.
74' Event
Korsaks K.
83' Event
Krievins R.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Marupe in this 1. Liga matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Marupe.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Marupe
15%
Draws
12%
Rezekne
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Marupe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Marupe have won more games recently than Rezekne.
  • Win probability leans Marupe's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Marupe Clean Sheet 17%
Rezekne Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marupe Rezekne
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 4
Draws 2 4
Losses 15 21
Goals Scored 1.59 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.55 2.79
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 1. Liga
Rezekne vs Marupe
1:2
Mar 22, 2026 1. Liga
Marupe vs Rezekne
4:0
Oct 5, 2025 1. Liga
Rezekne vs Marupe
2:1
May 24, 2025 1. Liga
Marupe vs Rezekne
1:1
Oct 19, 2024 1. Liga
Marupe vs Rezekne
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Marupe Compare

Top Goalscorer Krievins R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Oliynyk M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Rezekne Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marupe 84 / 100
Rezekne 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marupe Rezekne

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Marupe Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Rezekne conceded in 97% of 29 recent games.

Marupe found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Rezekne's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Marupe VS Rezekne
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 3
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Marupe

(Home)
12 Sept
Marupe
5 : 0
Tukums 2000 2
29 Aug
Marupe
0 : 2
Alberts JDFS
22 Aug
Valmiera
4 : 1
Marupe
15 Aug
Marupe
2 : 1
Super Nova 2
08 Aug
Marupe
0 : 1
Leevon PPK
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Rezekne

(Away)
11 Sept
Rezekne
2 : 2
Super Nova 2
05 Sept
Riga Mariners
5 : 0
Rezekne
30 Aug
Rezekne
1 : 6
Valmiera
23 Aug
Rezekne
0 : 2
FK Metta
08 Aug
Skanste
5 : 1
Rezekne
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Valmiera 20 16 3 1 58:19 51
2 FK Metta 20 16 3 1 86:16 51
3 Leevon PPK 20 14 4 2 37:22 46
4 Riga Mariners 20 13 5 2 46:21 44
5 Alberts JDFS 20 11 4 5 41:28 37
6 Marupe 20 9 1 10 34:32 28
7 Riga FC 2 20 7 4 9 29:37 25
8 Super Nova 2 20 6 7 7 28:30 25
9 Skanste 19 7 2 10 39:38 23
10 RFS 2 19 4 3 12 28:52 15
11 FK Smiltene 20 3 4 13 27:57 13
12 JFK Ventspils 19 2 6 11 20:40 12
13 Tukums 2000 2 19 3 3 13 23:59 12
14 Rezekne 20 1 3 16 16:61 6
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