Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Marupe vs RFS 2

Latvia Latvia

1. Liga
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Kirsanovs K.
19' Event
Kuliks M.
62' Event
Abrants K.

AI Match Summary

RFS 2 in this 1. Liga matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored RFS 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Marupe
15%
Draws
28%
RFS 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Marupe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • RFS 2 haven't matched Marupe's recent run of results.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Marupe taking it.
  • Regular 1. Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors RFS 2 here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Marupe Clean Sheet 10%
RFS 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marupe RFS 2
Matches Played 32 28
Wins 12 7
Draws 2 6
Losses 18 15
Goals Scored 1.47 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.59 2.29
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 1. Liga
Marupe vs RFS 2
1:4
Sep 1, 2025 1. Liga
RFS 2 vs Marupe
4:1
Apr 27, 2025 1. Liga
Marupe vs RFS 2
1:2
Aug 24, 2024 1. Liga
RFS 2 vs Marupe
3:1
Apr 28, 2024 1. Liga
Marupe vs RFS 2
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Marupe Compare

Top Goalscorer Speks R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

RFS 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kirsanovs K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kuliks M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marupe 83 / 100
RFS 2 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marupe RFS 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Marupe Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

RFS 2 let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Marupe's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

RFS 2's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Marupe VS RFS 2
0.88 Goals Scored 1.75
2.25 Goals Conceded 3.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Marupe

(Home)
12 Sept
Marupe
5 : 0
Tukums 2000 2
29 Aug
Marupe
0 : 2
Alberts JDFS
22 Aug
Valmiera
4 : 1
Marupe
15 Aug
Marupe
2 : 1
Super Nova 2
08 Aug
Marupe
0 : 1
Leevon PPK
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RFS 2

(Away)
05 Sept
RFS 2
4 : 1
JFK Ventspils
29 Aug
Riga Mariners
3 : 1
RFS 2
22 Aug
RFS 2
1 : 3
Alberts JDFS
08 Aug
FK Metta
12 : 1
RFS 2
01 Aug
Valmiera
2 : 1
RFS 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Valmiera 20 16 3 1 58:19 51
2 FK Metta 20 16 3 1 86:16 51
3 Leevon PPK 19 14 3 2 36:21 45
4 Riga Mariners 20 13 5 2 46:21 44
5 Alberts JDFS 20 11 4 5 41:28 37
6 Marupe 20 9 1 10 34:32 28
7 Super Nova 2 20 6 7 7 28:30 25
8 Riga FC 2 19 7 3 9 28:36 24
9 Skanste 19 7 2 10 39:38 23
10 RFS 2 19 4 3 12 28:52 15
11 FK Smiltene 20 3 4 13 27:57 13
12 JFK Ventspils 19 2 6 11 20:40 12
13 Tukums 2000 2 19 3 3 13 23:59 12
14 Rezekne 20 1 3 16 16:61 6
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