Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Marupe vs Super Nova 2

Latvia Latvia

1. Liga
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Strelcovs I.
Assist: Malisevs A.
60'
Cugunovs J.
60'
Cugunovs J.

AI Match Summary

The 1. Liga game between Marupe and Super Nova 2 finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Marupe.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Marupe
15%
Draws
34%
Super Nova 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Marupe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Marupe carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular 1. Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Marupe Clean Sheet 14%
Super Nova 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marupe Super Nova 2
Matches Played 32 17
Wins 13 6
Draws 2 5
Losses 17 6
Goals Scored 1.41 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.56 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 1. Liga
Marupe vs Super Nova 2
2:1
May 2, 2026 1. Liga
Super Nova 2 vs Marupe
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Marupe Compare

Top Goalscorer Krievins R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Avdejevs D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Super Nova 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Strelcovs I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marupe 31 / 100
Super Nova 2 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marupe Super Nova 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Marupe found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (32 games).

Super Nova 2's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 17 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Super Nova 2's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Marupe VS Super Nova 2
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Marupe

(Home)
15 Aug
Marupe
2 : 1
Super Nova 2
08 Aug
Marupe
0 : 1
Leevon PPK
01 Aug
Skanste
4 : 2
Marupe
25 Jul
Rezekne
1 : 2
Marupe
18 Jul
Marupe
0 : 4
FK Metta
Page 1 of 7

Super Nova 2

(Away)
15 Aug
Marupe
2 : 1
Super Nova 2
08 Aug
JFK Ventspils
0 : 2
Super Nova 2
31 Jul
Super Nova 2
0 : 3
Riga Mariners
25 Jul
Alberts JDFS
1 : 1
Super Nova 2
19 Jul
Riga FC 2
2 : 1
Super Nova 2
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Valmiera 16 13 2 1 44:14 41
2 FK Metta 16 13 2 1 69:14 41
3 Leevon PPK 16 11 3 2 27:18 36
4 Riga Mariners 16 10 5 1 34:15 35
5 Alberts JDFS 16 8 4 4 32:23 28
6 Marupe 17 8 1 8 28:26 25
7 Super Nova 2 17 6 5 6 24:25 23
8 Riga FC 2 16 6 2 8 23:30 20
9 Skanste 16 6 1 9 30:32 19
10 Tukums 2000 2 16 3 3 10 21:45 12
11 RFS 2 16 3 3 10 22:45 12
12 JFK Ventspils 16 2 5 9 18:28 11
13 FK Smiltene 16 2 4 10 19:43 10
14 Rezekne 16 1 2 13 13:46 5
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