Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Marupe vs Super Nova 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Latvia Latvia

1. Liga
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Strelcovs I.
Assist: Malisevs A.
60'
Cugunovs J.
60'
Cugunovs J.

AI Match Summary

The 1. Liga game between Marupe and Super Nova 2 finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Marupe.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Marupe
30%
Draws
16%
Super Nova 2
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Marupe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Marupe carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Marupe are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular 1. Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Marupe Clean Sheet 13%
Super Nova 2 Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marupe Super Nova 2
Matches Played 30 21
Wins 12 6
Draws 3 7
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 1.5 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 1. Liga
Marupe vs Super Nova 2
2:1
May 2, 2026 1. Liga
Super Nova 2 vs Marupe
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Marupe Compare

Top Goalscorer Krievins R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Avdejevs D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Super Nova 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Strelcovs I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marupe 66 / 100
Super Nova 2 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marupe Super Nova 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Marupe Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Super Nova 2 conceded in 81% of 21 recent games.

Marupe's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Marupe stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Marupe VS Super Nova 2
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Marupe

(Home)
20 Sept
Marupe
0 : 0
Riga FC 2
12 Sept
Marupe
5 : 0
Tukums 2000 2
29 Aug
Marupe
0 : 2
Alberts JDFS
22 Aug
Valmiera
4 : 1
Marupe
15 Aug
Marupe
2 : 1
Super Nova 2
Page 1 of 6

Super Nova 2

(Away)
19 Sept
Super Nova 2
0 : 2
FK Smiltene
11 Sept
Rezekne
2 : 2
Super Nova 2
29 Aug
Leevon PPK
2 : 1
Super Nova 2
23 Aug
Super Nova 2
1 : 1
Skanste
15 Aug
Marupe
2 : 1
Super Nova 2
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Metta 21 17 3 1 89:17 54
2 Valmiera 21 16 3 2 60:23 51
3 Leevon PPK 21 15 4 2 43:25 49
4 Riga Mariners 21 14 5 2 50:23 47
5 Alberts JDFS 21 11 4 6 42:31 37
6 Marupe 21 9 2 10 34:32 29
7 Skanste 21 8 2 11 43:42 26
8 Riga FC 2 21 7 5 9 29:37 26
9 Super Nova 2 21 6 7 8 28:32 25
10 Tukums 2000 2 21 5 3 13 27:60 18
11 FK Smiltene 21 4 4 13 29:57 16
12 RFS 2 21 4 3 14 34:62 15
13 JFK Ventspils 21 3 6 12 21:41 15
14 Rezekne 21 1 3 17 17:64 6
Promotion - Virsliga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Virsliga (Relegation)