Sport Picks

Latvia

Latvian Cup 2021

Marupe

5 - 3

Talsi

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 5-3, with Marupe advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%

Marupe

15%

Draws

Talsi

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Marupe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence

Marupe carry the better recent record into this one.
85% — that's where the model lands on Marupe taking it.
Marupe have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Marupe, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%

Marupe Clean Sheet 20%

Talsi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Marupe	Talsi
Matches Played	31	3
Wins	13	0
Draws	2	0
Losses	16	3
Goals Scored	1.58	2.33
Goals Conceded	1.55	4.67
Expected Goals (xG)	1.42	1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2021 Latvian Cup

Marupe vs Talsi

5:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marupe 49 / 100

Talsi 22 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Marupe Talsi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Marupe Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Talsi has conceded goals in 100% of their last 3 outings.

Historical meetings average 8.00 goals per match.

Marupe found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (31 games).

Away concern: Talsi has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Marupe VS -

1.63 Goals Scored 0

1.38 Goals Conceded 0

75% Over 1.5 0%

75% Over 2.5 0%

38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Marupe

(Home)

22 Aug

Valmiera

4 : 1

Marupe

15 Aug

Marupe

2 : 1

Super Nova 2

08 Aug

Marupe

0 : 1

Leevon PPK

01 Aug

Skanste

4 : 2

Marupe

25 Jul

Rezekne

1 : 2

Marupe

Page 1 of 7

Talsi

(Away)

05 May

Talsi

1 : 5

Aliance

18 May

Talsi

3 : 4

Kekava-Auda

04 Jul

Marupe

5 : 3

Talsi

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/128-finals

Kadaga/Ostas -

TBD -

Preilu BJSS -

TBD -

FK Smiltene -

RTU 1

JFC Viola 2

TBD -

Riga United -

Sigulda -

TBD -

DSVK Traktors -

TBD -

FK Liepaja -

Spartaks Jurmala -

TBD -

BFC Daugavpils -

Valmiera -

TBD -

Upesciems -

TBD -

AFA Olaine -

TBD -

Speks -

Jekabpils SC -

TBD -

Grobina -

Kalupe -

TBD -

Kengaroos -

TBD -

Dinamo Riga -

Saldus SS/Leevon -

TBD -

Fk Jurnieks Riga -

Alberts JDFS -

TBD -

SK Babite 3

Dobele Allegro 0

TBD -

Skanste -

TBD -

Gauja -

TBD -

Tente -

TBD -

RFS -

FK Metta -

TBD -

Marupe -

TBD -

Talsi -

TBD -

FK Auda Riga -

Caramba -

TBD -

FK Alberts -

Lielupe -

TBD -

Valka -

Riga FC -

TBD -

Kuivizu Spartaks -

TBD -

FK Limbazi -

Aliance -

TBD -

Bebri -

Tukums 2000 -

TBD -

Bauskas / Memele -

TBD -

Livani -

Salaspils FK -

TBD -

Rezekne -

Super Nova -

TBD -

Sports United/Cesis -

FK Varaklani -

TBD -

FK Madona Kvarcs -

TBD -

Latgols / Ludza -

Albatroz -

TBD -

Plavinas -

TBD -

FK Karosta -

1/64-finals

Kadaga/Ostas 2

Preilu BJSS 1

TBD -

FK Smiltene -

JFC Viola 5

Riga United 0

Sigulda 4

DSVK Traktors 3

TBD -

FK Liepaja -

Spartaks Jurmala -

TBD -

BFC Daugavpils -

Valmiera -

TBD -

Upesciems -

TBD -

AFA Olaine 0

Speks 2

Jekabpils SC -

TBD -

Grobina -

Kalupe 4

Kengaroos 5

TBD -

Dinamo Riga -

Saldus SS/Leevon -

TBD -

Fk Jurnieks Riga -

Alberts JDFS -

TBD -

SK Babite -

TBD -

Skanste 5

Gauja 1

TBD -

Tente -

TBD -

RFS -

FK Metta -

TBD -

Marupe 5

Talsi 3

TBD -

FK Auda Riga -

Caramba 2

FK Alberts 0

Lielupe 1

Valka 3

Riga FC -

TBD -

Kuivizu Spartaks 0

FK Limbazi 10

Aliance 4

Bebri 2

Tukums 2000 -

TBD -

Bauskas / Memele 1

Livani 5

Salaspils FK -

TBD -

Rezekne -

Super Nova -

TBD -

Sports United/Cesis -

FK Varaklani -

TBD -

FK Madona Kvarcs 1

Latgols / Ludza 3

Albatroz -

TBD -

Plavinas 0

FK Karosta 1

1/32-finals

Kadaga/Ostas 0

FK Smiltene 6

JFC Viola 5

Sigulda 2

TBD -

FK Liepaja -

Spartaks Jurmala -

TBD -

BFC Daugavpils -

Valmiera -

TBD -

Upesciems 2

Speks 4

Jekabpils SC 0

Grobina 2

Kengaroos 0

Dinamo Riga 2

Saldus SS/Leevon 2

Fk Jurnieks Riga 0

Alberts JDFS 1

SK Babite 0

Skanste 4

Tente 0

TBD -

RFS -

FK Metta -

TBD -

Marupe 1

FK Auda Riga 4

Caramba 11

Valka 0

Riga FC -

TBD -

FK Limbazi 4

Aliance 0

Tukums 2000 4

Livani 0

Salaspils FK 0

Rezekne 7

Super Nova 6

Sports United/Cesis 0

FK Varaklani 0

Latgols / Ludza 5

Albatroz 5

FK Karosta 1

1/16-finals

FK Smiltene 2

JFC Viola 0

TBD -

FK Liepaja -

Spartaks Jurmala -

TBD -

BFC Daugavpils -

Valmiera -

TBD -

Speks 4

Grobina 2

Dinamo Riga 9

Saldus SS/Leevon 0

Alberts JDFS 1

Skanste 2

TBD -

RFS -

FK Metta -

TBD -

FK Auda Riga 3

Caramba 1

Riga FC -

TBD -

FK Limbazi 0

Tukums 2000 2

Rezekne 3

Super Nova 1

Latgols / Ludza 0

Albatroz 1

1/8-finals

FK Smiltene 0

FK Liepaja 3

Spartaks Jurmala 0

BFC Daugavpils 1

Valmiera -

TBD -

Speks 0

Dinamo Riga 2

Skanste 0

RFS 2

FK Metta 1

FK Auda Riga 3

Riga FC 3

Tukums 2000 1

Rezekne 0

Albatroz 3

Quarter-finals

FK Liepaja 1

BFC Daugavpils 0

Valmiera 5

Dinamo Riga 0

RFS 4

FK Auda Riga 0

Riga FC 3

Albatroz 0

Semi-finals

FK Liepaja 2

Valmiera 0

RFS 3

Riga FC 1

Final

FK Liepaja 0

RFS 1

Marupe vs Talsi

Latvia

Marupe

Talsi

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Marupe

Talsi

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Install Sokapicks PWA