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Masar W vs 15 de Agosto W

Africa Africa

CAF Champions League Women Right to Dream Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Masar W play 15 de Agosto W in the CAF Champions League Women. Masar W are favorites here. Recently, Masar W averaged 1.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded. 15 de Agosto W averaged 0.33 goals scored and 3 conceded. In past meetings, Masar W won 1, 15 de Agosto W won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Nov 11, 2025 ended 5:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.19 for Masar W and 0.42 for 15 de Agosto W. This points to a Masar W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

66%
Masar W
23%
Draws
11%
15 de Agosto W
Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: Masar W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Masar W picked up more points recently compared to 15 de Agosto W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.19 vs 0.42 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 88%
Over 1.5 Goals 64%
Over 2.5 Goals 50%
Over 3.5 Goals 30%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Masar W Clean Sheet 32%
15 de Agosto W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 58%
Second Half Goal 61%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Masar W 15 de Agosto W
Matches Played 10 3
Wins 4 0
Draws 3 0
Losses 3 3
Goals Scored 1.2 0.33
Goals Conceded 0.8 3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.33
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 11, 2025 CAF Champions League Women
Masar W vs 15 de Agosto W
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Masar W Compare

Top Goalscorer Zezo Y.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ogebe A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

15 de Agosto W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.3
Avg xA / game 0.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Masar W 66 / 100
15 de Agosto W 12 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Masar W 15 de Agosto W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Masar W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Masar W & Under 3.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +13.5%
1.72
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +13.5%
2.27
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Masar W attacking → ← attacking 15 de Agosto W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Masar W scored in 70% of their last 10 games.

15 de Agosto W let in goals in 100% of their last 3 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Masar W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

15 de Agosto W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

European tournament. Big stakes for both clubs, so expect a tense, high-pressure match.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

15 Points in last 5 0
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.33
0.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1FAR Rabat W32104:07
2Masar W31206:15
3USFAS Bamako W31113:44
415 de Agosto W30031:90
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1ASEC Mimosas W32106:17
2Mazembe W32017:26
3JKT Queens W30212:52
4Gaborone Utd W30120:71