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Mashal Muborak vs Obod Tashkent - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Professional Football League 2017
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Turayev Z.
32' Event
Murtazoev K.
87' Event
Hasanov D.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

Mashal Muborak in this Professional Football League 2017 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mashal Muborak.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Mashal Muborak
15%
Draws
85%
Obod Tashkent
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Obod Tashkent

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Mashal Muborak lately — more wins on the board than Obod Tashkent.
  • Model gives Obod Tashkent a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Professional Football League 2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Mashal Muborak have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Mashal Muborak Clean Sheet 19%
Obod Tashkent Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mashal Muborak Obod Tashkent
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 2
Draws 2 3
Losses 22 25
Goals Scored 0.63 0.47
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 4, 2017 Super League
Obod Tashkent vs Mashal Muborak
0:0
May 26, 2017 Super League
Mashal Muborak vs Obod Tashkent
3:0
Oct 24, 2016 Super League
Obod Tashkent vs Mashal Muborak
0:1
Jun 10, 2016 Super League
Mashal Muborak vs Obod Tashkent
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mashal Muborak Compare

Top Goalscorer Turayev Z.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Murtazoev K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Obod Tashkent Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mashal Muborak 12 / 100
Obod Tashkent 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mashal Muborak Obod Tashkent

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Obod Tashkent Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Obod Tashkent has conceded goals in 96% of their last 23 outings.

Obod Tashkent lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Mashal Muborak's goal record stands at 52% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Mashal Muborak VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mashal Muborak

(Home)
19 Sept
Mashal Muborak
1 : 2
Pakhtakor
11 Sept
Lok. Tashkent
3 : 0
Mashal Muborak
05 Sept
Sogdiana
5 : 2
Mashal Muborak
26 Aug
Mashal Muborak
0 : 2
Navbahor Namangan
19 Aug
Mashal Muborak
0 : 1
Andijan
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Obod Tashkent

(Away)
25 Nov
Pakhtakor
:
Obod Tashkent
19 Nov
Obod Tashkent
:
Shortan Guzor
16 Nov
Metallurg Bekabad
:
Obod Tashkent
04 Nov
Obod Tashkent
:
Mashal Muborak
26 Oct
Din. Samarkand
:
Obod Tashkent
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lok. Tashkent 30 22 4 4 67:20 70
2 Nasaf Qarshi 30 20 2 8 58:18 62
3 Pakhtakor 30 18 5 7 44:28 59
4 Bunyodkor 30 14 10 6 47:29 52
5 Navbahor Namangan 30 12 10 8 40:37 46
6 Buxoro 30 13 7 10 42:40 46
7 OKMK 30 12 8 10 31:32 44
8 Mashal Muborak 30 12 8 10 37:31 44
9 Kokand 1912 30 11 8 11 42:47 41
10 Metallurg Bekabad 30 12 4 14 40:39 40
11 Qizilqum 30 9 10 11 31:40 37
12 Din. Samarkand 30 8 8 14 21:35 32
13 Sogdiana 30 8 7 15 33:51 31
14 Shortan Guzor 30 8 3 19 28:52 27
15 Neftchi Fargona 30 6 9 15 23:48 27
16 Obod Tashkent 30 2 3 25 15:52 9
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