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Mashujaa vs Polisi Tanzania - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Tanzania Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara Lake Tanganyika Stadium, Kigoma
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Match Events

30' Event
Daudi M.
45'
'

AI Match Summary

Mashujaa in this Ligi Kuu Bara matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mashujaa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Mashujaa
15%
Draws
51%
Polisi Tanzania
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Polisi Tanzania

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Mashujaa haven't matched Polisi Tanzania's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Ligi Kuu Bara form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Mashujaa Clean Sheet 16%
Polisi Tanzania Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mashujaa Polisi Tanzania
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 10 11
Draws 9 5
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 0.71 1.31
Goals Conceded 0.84 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 8, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mashujaa vs Polisi Tanzania
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mashujaa Compare

Top Goalscorer Daudi M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Joseph M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Polisi Tanzania Compare

Top Goalscorer Jabiri A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mashujaa 31 / 100
Polisi Tanzania 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mashujaa Polisi Tanzania

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Polisi Tanzania has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Mashujaa scored in 48% of their last 31 outings.

Solid form: Mashujaa remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mashujaa VS Polisi Tanzania
1 Goals Scored 2.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Mashujaa

(Home)
09 Sept
Mashujaa
2 : 1
Singida Black Stars
04 Sept
Dodoma Jiji
1 : 0
Mashujaa
27 Aug
Mashujaa
2 : 1
Kagera Sugar
23 Aug
Mbeya City
2 : 1
Mashujaa
18 Aug
Fountain Gate
1 : 0
Mashujaa
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Polisi Tanzania

(Away)
12 Sept
Polisi Tanzania
2 : 0
Mbeya City
06 Sept
Polisi Tanzania
1 : 2
Coastal Union
29 Aug
Singida Black Stars
4 : 2
Polisi Tanzania
25 Aug
Dodoma Jiji
0 : 1
Polisi Tanzania
20 Aug
Polisi Tanzania
2 : 0
JKT Tanzania
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Young Africans 6 6 0 0 16:2 18
2 Simba 6 6 0 0 11:2 18
3 Azam 7 4 2 1 11:7 14
4 Singida Black Stars 6 3 1 2 13:9 10
5 Polisi Tanzania 6 3 1 2 9:7 10
6 Mbeya City 6 3 1 2 6:4 10
7 Dodoma Jiji 6 3 1 2 4:4 10
8 Mashujaa 6 3 0 3 6:6 9
9 Geita Gold 6 2 1 3 9:8 7
10 JKT Tanzania 6 2 1 3 7:10 7
11 Coastal Union 6 2 1 3 6:9 7
12 TRA United 6 1 3 2 6:6 6
13 Namungo 7 2 0 5 6:11 6
14 Fountain Gate 6 1 1 4 2:9 4
15 Kagera Sugar 6 0 2 4 5:14 2
16 Pamba 6 0 1 5 4:13 1
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara (Relegation)