Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mashujaa vs TRA United

Tanzania Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara Lake Tanganyika Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mashujaa play TRA United in the Ligi Kuu Bara. It looks like a close match. Recently, Mashujaa averaged 0.47 goals scored and 0.9 conceded. TRA United averaged 1.1 goals scored and 1 conceded. In past meetings, Mashujaa won 2, TRA United won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 4, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.75 for Mashujaa and 1.25 for TRA United. This points to a TRA United double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Mashujaa
28%
Draws
41%
TRA United
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: TRA United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • Mashujaa picked up more points recently compared to TRA United.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.75 vs 1.25 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 49%
Over 2.5 Goals 26%
Over 3.5 Goals 16%
Over 4.5 Goals 8%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Mashujaa Clean Sheet 19%
TRA United Clean Sheet 19%
First Half Goal 44%
Second Half Goal 47%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mashujaa TRA United
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 12
Draws 11 8
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 0.47 1.1
Goals Conceded 0.9 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mashujaa vs TRA United
1:0
Oct 22, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara
TRA United vs Mashujaa
0:0
Apr 10, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mashujaa vs TRA United
3:0
Nov 4, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
TRA United vs Mashujaa
1:0
May 12, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
TRA United vs Mashujaa
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mashujaa Compare

Top Goalscorer Mgunda I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.19
Avg xA / game 0.13

TRA United Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mashujaa 32 / 100
TRA United 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mashujaa TRA United

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: TRA United or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +34.8%
4.35
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +30%
5.00
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Mashujaa attacking → ← attacking TRA United

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mashujaa scored in 37% of their last 30 games.

TRA United let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

Mashujaa went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

TRA United lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

32 Points in last 5 44
0.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

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