Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mashujaa vs TRA United

Tanzania Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 Lake Tanganyika Stadium, Kigoma
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Mgunda I.
40'
Onditi S.
46'
Sub
Nganzi A. In: Chewe C.
Out: Nganzi A.

AI Match Summary

Mashujaa in this Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mashujaa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Mashujaa
20%
Draws
36%
TRA United
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mashujaa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to TRA United lately — more wins on the board than Mashujaa.
  • Mashujaa are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23.200000000000003%
Mashujaa Clean Sheet 68%
TRA United Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mashujaa TRA United
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 10
Draws 9 10
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 0.57 1.03
Goals Conceded 1 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mashujaa vs TRA United
1:0
Oct 22, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara
TRA United vs Mashujaa
0:0
Apr 10, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mashujaa vs TRA United
3:0
Nov 4, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
TRA United vs Mashujaa
1:0
May 12, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
TRA United vs Mashujaa
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mashujaa Compare

Top Goalscorer Mgunda I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

TRA United Compare

Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mashujaa 51 / 100
TRA United 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mashujaa TRA United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: TRA United conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Mashujaa scored in 40% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.20 goals when they meet.

Mashujaa has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Mashujaa VS TRA United
0.88 Goals Scored 0.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mashujaa

(Home)
09 Sept
Mashujaa
2 : 1
Singida Black Stars
04 Sept
Dodoma Jiji
1 : 0
Mashujaa
27 Aug
Mashujaa
2 : 1
Kagera Sugar
23 Aug
Mbeya City
2 : 1
Mashujaa
18 Aug
Fountain Gate
1 : 0
Mashujaa
Page 1 of 6

TRA United

(Away)
13 Sept
Pamba
1 : 3
TRA United
04 Sept
TRA United
0 : 0
Mbeya City
29 Aug
TRA United
0 : 1
Dodoma Jiji
24 Aug
Coastal Union
1 : 1
TRA United
20 Aug
Azam
2 : 1
TRA United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Young Africans 30 23 6 1 71:9 75
2 Simba 30 22 7 1 54:11 73
3 Azam 30 18 10 2 46:12 64
4 Singida Black Stars 30 15 5 10 47:35 50
5 TRA United 30 11 10 9 33:28 43
6 JKT Tanzania 30 10 12 8 30:33 42
7 Pamba 30 9 9 12 32:35 36
8 Coastal Union 30 9 9 12 31:37 36
9 Dodoma Jiji 30 8 11 11 25:36 35
10 Namungo 30 7 13 10 25:32 34
11 Mashujaa 30 7 12 11 15:27 33
12 Fountain Gate 30 9 6 15 25:44 33
13 Tanzania Prisons 30 9 5 16 23:41 32
14 Mbeya City 30 7 9 14 24:41 30
15 Mtibwa Sugar 30 6 9 15 25:48 27
16 Kinondoni MC 30 2 3 25 16:53 9
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 (Relegation)