Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mashujaa vs Young Africans

Tanzania Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 Lake Tanganyika Stadium, Kigoma
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Yahya M.
45'
Balama M.
46'
Sub
Mhagama C. In: Haji H.
Out: Mhagama C.

AI Match Summary

The Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 game between Mashujaa and Young Africans finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Young Africans.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Mashujaa
15%
Draws
58%
Young Africans
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Young Africans

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Young Africans come out ahead of Mashujaa on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Young Africans's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Young Africans here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23.200000000000003%
Mashujaa Clean Sheet 10%
Young Africans Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mashujaa Young Africans
Matches Played 33 34
Wins 10 27
Draws 10 5
Losses 13 2
Goals Scored 0.67 2.38
Goals Conceded 0.97 0.44
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 13, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mashujaa vs Young Africans
0:2
Jan 19, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Young Africans vs Mashujaa
6:0
Feb 23, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mashujaa vs Young Africans
0:5
Dec 19, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
Young Africans vs Mashujaa
3:2
May 5, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mashujaa vs Young Africans
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mashujaa Compare

Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Young Africans Compare

Top Goalscorer Yahya M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mwamnyeto B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mashujaa 10 / 100
Young Africans 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mashujaa Young Africans

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Young Africans Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Mashujaa found the back of the net in 45% of recent matches (33 games).

Young Africans has conceded goals in 29% of their last 34 outings.

Mashujaa went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mashujaa VS Young Africans
1 Goals Scored 2.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.25
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Mashujaa

(Home)
09 Sept
Mashujaa
2 : 1
Singida Black Stars
04 Sept
Dodoma Jiji
1 : 0
Mashujaa
27 Aug
Mashujaa
2 : 1
Kagera Sugar
23 Aug
Mbeya City
2 : 1
Mashujaa
18 Aug
Fountain Gate
1 : 0
Mashujaa
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Young Africans

(Away)
12 Sept
Young Africans
2 : 1
Gaborone Utd
05 Sept
Gaborone Utd
1 : 1
Young Africans
31 Aug
Fountain Gate
0 : 2
Young Africans
28 Aug
Young Africans
2 : 0
Pamba
24 Aug
Young Africans
4 : 0
JKT Tanzania
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Young Africans 30 23 6 1 71:9 75
2 Simba 30 22 7 1 54:11 73
3 Azam 30 18 10 2 46:12 64
4 Singida Black Stars 30 15 5 10 47:35 50
5 TRA United 30 11 10 9 33:28 43
6 JKT Tanzania 30 10 12 8 30:33 42
7 Pamba 30 9 9 12 32:35 36
8 Coastal Union 30 9 9 12 31:37 36
9 Dodoma Jiji 30 8 11 11 25:36 35
10 Namungo 30 7 13 10 25:32 34
11 Mashujaa 30 7 12 11 15:27 33
12 Fountain Gate 30 9 6 15 25:44 33
13 Tanzania Prisons 30 9 5 16 23:41 32
14 Mbeya City 30 7 9 14 24:41 30
15 Mtibwa Sugar 30 6 9 15 25:48 27
16 Kinondoni MC 30 2 3 25 16:53 9
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 (Relegation)