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Mashuk vs Sibir Novosibirsk - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division A Gold 2025/2026 Central Stadium, Pyatigorsk
Mashuk Logo

Mashuk

2 - 0
FT
Sibir Novosibirsk Logo

Sibir Novosibirsk

Our Tip

Match Events

9'
Laptev V.
14'
Magomadov C.
45'
Zotov G.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Mashuk in this FNL 2 - Division A Gold 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mashuk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Mashuk
35%
Draws
41%
Sibir Novosibirsk
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sibir Novosibirsk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sibir Novosibirsk lately — more wins on the board than Mashuk.
  • Sibir Novosibirsk are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular FNL 2 - Division A Gold 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Mashuk here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Mashuk Clean Sheet 21%
Sibir Novosibirsk Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mashuk Sibir Novosibirsk
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 14
Draws 17 7
Losses 5 8
Goals Scored 1 1.52
Goals Conceded 0.79 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Mashuk vs Sibir Novosibirsk
3:1
May 31, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Mashuk vs Sibir Novosibirsk
2:0
Apr 12, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Sibir Novosibirsk vs Mashuk
2:2
Sep 20, 2025 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Mashuk vs Sibir Novosibirsk
1:0
Jul 27, 2025 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Sibir Novosibirsk vs Mashuk
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mashuk 29 / 100
Sibir Novosibirsk 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mashuk Sibir Novosibirsk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sibir Novosibirsk Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sibir Novosibirsk has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Solid form: Mashuk remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Mashuk scored in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Mashuk VS Sibir Novosibirsk
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Mashuk

(Home)
04 Oct
Mashuk
1 : 1
Kirov
27 Sept
Saratov
0 : 0
Mashuk
21 Sept
Mashuk
0 : 0
FC Volgar-Astrakhan
12 Sept
Rodina Moscow 2
3 : 1
Mashuk
06 Sept
Mashuk
3 : 1
Sibir Novosibirsk
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Sibir Novosibirsk

(Away)
04 Oct
Sibir Novosibirsk
2 : 0
D. Bryansk
27 Sept
Rodina Moscow 2
1 : 3
Sibir Novosibirsk
20 Sept
Sibir Novosibirsk
3 : 0
Kaluga
12 Sept
Sibir Novosibirsk
0 : 0
Alania Vladikavkaz
06 Sept
Mashuk
3 : 1
Sibir Novosibirsk
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Leningradets 18 10 4 4 23:23 34
2 Tekstilshtik 18 10 2 6 29:18 32
3 Sibir Novosibirsk 18 9 5 4 28:20 32
4 Veles Moscow 18 8 4 6 20:12 28
5 Mashuk 18 5 11 2 20:13 26
6 FC Volgar-Astrakhan 18 6 6 6 21:19 24
7 Kaluga 18 5 5 8 17:20 20
8 Rodina Moscow 2 18 4 7 7 20:23 19
9 Torpedo Miass 18 3 7 8 13:23 16
10 Irtysh Omsk 18 1 7 10 11:31 10
Promotion - FNL (Main)
Promotion - FNL 2 - Division A Gold 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - FNL 2 - Division A Silver (Fall Season)