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Stadium Background

Mashuk vs Yessentuki

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Group 1
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Osmanov R.
(Penalty)
9'
Sub
Bychkov I. In: Tagibekov Y.
Out: Bychkov I.
9'
Sub
Rabadanov M. In: Shamilev M.
Out: Rabadanov M.

AI Match Summary

The FNL 2 - Group 1 game between Mashuk and Yessentuki finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mashuk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Mashuk
20%
Draws
0%
Yessentuki
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mashuk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mashuk come out ahead of Yessentuki on wins alone.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Mashuk taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Mashuk here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Mashuk Clean Sheet 20%
Yessentuki Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mashuk Yessentuki
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 9 1
Draws 18 3
Losses 5 26
Goals Scored 1.06 0.33
Goals Conceded 0.72 3.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 31, 2023 FNL 2 - Group 1
Yessentuki vs Mashuk
0:3
Sep 25, 2022 FNL 2 - Group 1
Mashuk vs Yessentuki
2:0
Jul 10, 2022 Club Friendly
Mashuk vs Yessentuki
1:1
Oct 27, 2021 FNL 2 - Group 1
Mashuk vs Yessentuki
7:0
Aug 6, 2021 FNL 2 - Group 1
Yessentuki vs Mashuk
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mashuk Compare

Top Goalscorer Kuchiev G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Yessentuki Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mashuk 85 / 100
Yessentuki 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mashuk Yessentuki

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mashuk Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Yessentuki's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 27 matches.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Yessentuki registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Recent resilience: Mashuk stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mashuk VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mashuk

(Home)
27 Sept
Saratov
0 : 0
Mashuk
21 Sept
Mashuk
0 : 0
FC Volgar-Astrakhan
12 Sept
Rodina Moscow 2
3 : 1
Mashuk
06 Sept
Mashuk
3 : 1
Sibir Novosibirsk
30 Aug
Dynamo Vladivostok
1 : 0
Mashuk
Page 1 of 7

Yessentuki

(Away)
29 Apr
Yessentuki
:
Biolog
22 Apr
R. Volgograd
:
Yessentuki
14 Apr
Yessentuki
:
Spartak Nalchik
08 Apr
Forte Taganrog
15 : 0
Yessentuki
31 Mar
Yessentuki
0 : 3
Mashuk
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chernomorets Novorossijsk 26 19 6 1 56:18 63
2 FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye 26 16 7 3 40:10 55
3 R. Volgograd 26 15 7 4 47:19 52
4 Biolog 26 13 7 6 35:24 46
5 Forte Taganrog 26 12 9 5 52:22 45
6 Kuban Kholding 26 12 6 8 43:29 42
7 Spartak Nalchik 26 10 7 9 36:30 37
8 Maykop 26 10 5 11 28:31 35
9 SKA Rostov-on-Don 26 9 7 10 26:31 34
10 Dynamo Stavropol 26 7 10 9 27:38 31
11 Legion Makhachkala 26 5 6 15 29:43 21
12 Mashuk 26 5 6 15 27:47 21
13 Alania 2 26 2 7 17 21:53 13
14 Yessentuki 26 1 2 23 7:79 5
Promotion - FNL 2 - Group 1 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - FNL 2 - Group 1 (Relegation Group)