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Masters FC vs Karonga United Prediction & H2H Stats

Malawi Malawi

Super League
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Masters FC host Karonga United in the Super League. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Recent numbers: Masters FC at 1.13 goals for, 1.07 against; Karonga United at 1 for, 1.35 against. Past meetings favor Masters FC slightly — 1-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 3, 2026, ending 1:2. The numbers (1.31 xG vs 1.13) point toward Masters FC. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Masters FC
35%
Draws
30%
Karonga United
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Karonga United have won more games recently than Masters FC.
  • 35% — that's where the model lands on Masters FC taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Masters FC Clean Sheet 20%
Karonga United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Masters FC Karonga United
Matches Played 15 31
Wins 6 9
Draws 4 7
Losses 5 15
Goals Scored 1.13 1
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Super League
Karonga United vs Masters FC
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Masters FC 58 / 100
Karonga United 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Masters FC Karonga United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Masters FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Masters FC's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 15 recent games.

Karonga United has conceded goals in 77% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Masters FC stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Masters FC VS Karonga United
0.88 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Masters FC

(Home)
05 Sept
Red Lions
0 : 0
Masters FC
22 Aug
Masters FC
1 : 2
Blue Eagles
15 Aug
MAFCO
1 : 1
Masters FC
09 Aug
Masters FC
1 : 0
Civo Utd
26 Jul
Mighty Wanderers FC
1 : 1
Masters FC
Page 1 of 3

Karonga United

(Away)
06 Sept
Ekhaya
0 : 0
Karonga United
23 Aug
Karonga United
1 : 1
Chitipa United
16 Aug
Karonga United
0 : 1
Big Bullets
09 Aug
Mitundu Baptist
2 : 1
Karonga United
26 Jul
Karonga United
2 : 1
Creck Sporting
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Blue Eagles 15 10 1 4 24:16 31
2 Big Bullets 15 8 6 1 20:7 30
3 Mighty Wanderers FC 15 8 5 2 27:11 29
4 Silver Strikers 15 8 5 2 23:10 29
5 Masters FC 15 6 4 5 17:16 22
6 Moyale Barracks 15 5 6 4 16:17 21
7 Chitipa United 15 6 3 6 11:16 21
8 Red Lions 15 5 5 5 12:13 20
9 Mitundu Baptist 15 5 5 5 12:13 20
10 Civo Utd 15 6 2 7 10:14 20
11 Ekhaya 15 4 6 5 15:14 18
12 Dedza Dynamos 15 3 6 6 9:19 15
13 Karonga United 15 3 5 7 14:23 14
14 MAFCO 15 3 4 8 12:17 13
15 Kamuzu Barracks 15 3 3 9 15:22 12
16 Creck Sporting 15 2 4 9 11:20 10
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