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Matagalpa vs Walter Ferreti - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Nicaragua Nicaragua

Liga Primera 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Da Silva R.
43' Event
Garcia J.
60' Event
Gomez N.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Primera 2025/2026 game between Matagalpa and Walter Ferreti finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Matagalpa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Matagalpa
20%
Draws
15%
Walter Ferreti
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Matagalpa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Matagalpa carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 65% — that's where the model lands on Matagalpa taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Matagalpa Clean Sheet 16%
Walter Ferreti Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Matagalpa Walter Ferreti
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 7
Draws 6 8
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.43 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 3, 2026 Liga Primera
Walter Ferreti vs Matagalpa
4:1
Apr 18, 2026 Liga Primera
Matagalpa vs Walter Ferreti
4:0
Feb 18, 2026 Liga Primera
Walter Ferreti vs Matagalpa
0:3
Nov 6, 2025 Liga Primera
Walter Ferreti vs Matagalpa
1:2
Aug 31, 2025 Liga Primera
Matagalpa vs Walter Ferreti
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Matagalpa Compare

Top Goalscorer Da Silva R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Garcia J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Walter Ferreti Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Matagalpa 39 / 100
Walter Ferreti 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Matagalpa Walter Ferreti

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Matagalpa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Matagalpa's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Walter Ferreti let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Matagalpa went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Matagalpa VS Walter Ferreti
0.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Matagalpa

(Home)
07 Sept
Matagalpa
0 : 3
Diriangen
04 Sept
Matagalpa
1 : 0
UNAN-Managua
30 Aug
Matagalpa
0 : 1
Rancho Santana
23 Aug
Jalapa
0 : 1
Matagalpa
16 Aug
Matagalpa
1 : 0
San Marcos
Page 1 of 6

Walter Ferreti

(Away)
04 Oct
Walter Ferreti
2 : 2
Jalapa
06 Sept
Walter Ferreti
2 : 3
Managua FC
02 Sept
Sport Sebaco
1 : 1
Walter Ferreti
30 Aug
San Marcos
1 : 0
Walter Ferreti
24 Aug
Walter Ferreti
0 : 1
UNAN-Managua
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Diriangen 18 12 3 3 40:19 39
2 Esteli 18 11 4 3 41:19 37
3 Jalapa 18 9 6 3 29:16 33
4 Managua FC 18 8 5 5 22:18 29
5 Matagalpa 18 5 7 6 30:24 22
6 Walter Ferreti 18 5 6 7 18:28 21
7 Sport Sebaco 18 6 2 10 23:24 20
8 UNAN-Managua 18 4 4 10 21:34 16
9 Rancho Santana 18 4 4 10 20:43 16
10 Real Madriz 18 4 3 11 14:33 15
Promotion - Liga Primera 2025/2026 (Clausura - Winners)
Promotion - Liga Primera 2025/2026 (Clausura - Winners)