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Matanzas vs FC Cienfuegos

Cuba Cuba

Liga Nacional 2024
Sat, Feb 10, 2024
VS
08:00 PM
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Match Events

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No live events recorded yet.

AI Match Summary

Matanzas host FC Cienfuegos in the Liga Nacional 2024. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. FC Cienfuegos have shipped 0.88 goals a game lately, while Matanzas have conceded 0.88 and scored 1. Past meetings favor FC Cienfuegos slightly — 0-3-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 7, 2025, ending 1:2. Model xG sits at 0.94 vs 1.25, favoring FC Cienfuegos. FC Cienfuegos in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Matanzas
17%
Draws
70%
FC Cienfuegos
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: FC Cienfuegos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • FC Cienfuegos has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Matanzas.
  • Model forecasts a 70% win probability edge for FC Cienfuegos.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Liga Nacional 2024 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Matanzas Clean Sheet 19%
FC Cienfuegos Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Matanzas FC Cienfuegos
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 7 16
Draws 6 6
Losses 15 7
Goals Scored 1 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 7, 2025 Liga Nacional
Matanzas vs FC Cienfuegos
1:2
May 10, 2025 Liga Nacional
FC Cienfuegos vs Matanzas
1:0
Apr 12, 2025 Liga Nacional
Matanzas vs FC Cienfuegos
0:0
Mar 15, 2025 Liga Nacional
FC Cienfuegos vs Matanzas
3:2
Feb 10, 2024 Liga Nacional
Matanzas vs FC Cienfuegos
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Matanzas 16 / 100
FC Cienfuegos 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Matanzas FC Cienfuegos

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CIE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Matanzas scored in 57% of their last 28 games.

FC Cienfuegos let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Matanzas went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

FC Cienfuegos lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Matanzas VS FC Cienfuegos
1 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
38% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Cienfuegos11002:03
2Pinar del Rio10101:11
3Artemisa10101:11
4FC Villa Clara10100:01
5Mayabeque Guines10100:01
6Matanzas00000:00
7Isla de La Juventud00000:00
8FC La Habana10010:20
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Guantanamo11001:03
2FC Ciego de Avila10100:01
3FC Holguin10100:01
4FC Santiago de Cuba00000:00
5FC Sancti Spiritus00000:00
6FC Camaguey00000:00
7CF Granma00000:00
8Las Tunas10010:10