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Matanzas vs FC Cienfuegos

Cuba Cuba

Liga Nacional 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Matanzas in this Liga Nacional 2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Matanzas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Matanzas
17%
Draws
70%
FC Cienfuegos
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: FC Cienfuegos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to FC Cienfuegos lately — more wins on the board than Matanzas.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on FC Cienfuegos taking it.
  • Regular Liga Nacional 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Matanzas Clean Sheet 19%
FC Cienfuegos Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Matanzas FC Cienfuegos
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 8 18
Draws 6 6
Losses 15 7
Goals Scored 1 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 7, 2025 Liga Nacional
Matanzas vs FC Cienfuegos
1:2
May 10, 2025 Liga Nacional
FC Cienfuegos vs Matanzas
1:0
Apr 12, 2025 Liga Nacional
Matanzas vs FC Cienfuegos
0:0
Mar 15, 2025 Liga Nacional
FC Cienfuegos vs Matanzas
3:2
Feb 10, 2024 Liga Nacional
Matanzas vs FC Cienfuegos
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Matanzas 16 / 100
FC Cienfuegos 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Matanzas FC Cienfuegos

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CIE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Matanzas's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

FC Cienfuegos's defensive record shows goals conceded in 58% of 31 matches.

Matanzas went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Matanzas VS FC Cienfuegos
1 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
38% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%