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Matchakhela vs Bakhmaro Chokhatauri - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Georgia Georgia

Liga 3 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bakhmaro Chokhatauri in this Liga 3 2023 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bakhmaro Chokhatauri.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Matchakhela
15%
Draws
0%
Bakhmaro Chokhatauri
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Matchakhela

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Matchakhela lately — more wins on the board than Bakhmaro Chokhatauri.
  • Win probability leans Bakhmaro Chokhatauri's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Bakhmaro Chokhatauri have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Matchakhela Clean Sheet 20%
Bakhmaro Chokhatauri Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Matchakhela Bakhmaro Chokhatauri
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 6 4
Draws 6 4
Losses 18 24
Goals Scored 1 0.63
Goals Conceded 2.87 2.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.92 0.61
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2024 Liga 3
Bakhmaro Chokhatauri vs Matchakhela
3:2
Apr 11, 2024 Liga 3
Matchakhela vs Bakhmaro Chokhatauri
1:2
Sep 28, 2023 Liga 3
Matchakhela vs Bakhmaro Chokhatauri
0:1
May 2, 2023 Liga 3
Bakhmaro Chokhatauri vs Matchakhela
3:4
Oct 22, 2018 Liga 3
Matchakhela vs Bakhmaro Chokhatauri
0:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Matchakhela 10 / 100
Bakhmaro Chokhatauri 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Matchakhela Bakhmaro Chokhatauri

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bakhmaro Chokhatauri Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Matchakhela scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Bakhmaro Chokhatauri's defensive record shows goals conceded in 88% of 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.

Bakhmaro Chokhatauri lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Bakhmaro Chokhatauri
0 Goals Scored 0.13
0 Goals Conceded 2.63
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Matchakhela

(Home)
07 Dec
Matchakhela
1 : 8
Guria
29 Nov
FC Gardabani
6 : 1
Matchakhela
21 Nov
Matchakhela
0 : 10
Gori
14 Nov
Betlemi Keda
5 : 1
Matchakhela
07 Nov
Matchakhela
1 : 1
Iberia 1999 2
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Bakhmaro Chokhatauri

(Away)
05 Dec
WIT Georgia
5 : 0
Bakhmaro Chokhatauri
28 Nov
Bakhmaro Chokhatauri
0 : 2
Shturmi
21 Nov
Dusheti
4 : 1
Bakhmaro Chokhatauri
13 Nov
Bakhmaro Chokhatauri
2 : 4
Margveti 2006
06 Nov
Didube
5 : 0
Bakhmaro Chokhatauri
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dusheti 30 21 5 4 66:21 68
2 Shturmi 30 21 5 4 67:27 68
3 FC Rustavi 30 19 4 7 63:31 61
4 FC Tbilisi 2025 30 19 3 8 54:35 60
5 Meshakhte Tkibuli 30 15 10 5 49:24 55
6 Orbi 30 15 5 10 56:41 50
7 Iberia 1999 2 30 12 9 9 45:26 45
8 Gori 30 13 4 13 46:48 43
9 Guria 30 11 6 13 44:55 39
10 Locomotive Tbilisi 2 30 10 5 15 50:42 35
11 Borjomi 30 11 2 17 50:78 35
12 Bakhmaro Chokhatauri 30 9 6 15 47:47 33
13 Zestafoni 30 6 11 13 33:46 29
14 Matchakhela 30 8 2 20 38:81 26
15 FC Merani-91 Tbilisi II 30 4 10 16 30:58 22
16 Chikhura Sachkhere 30 2 1 27 23:101 7
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2024 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2023 (Relegation)