Sport Picks
Matelica vs Sambenedettese - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Italy
Serie C - Group A 2020/2021 
Match Events
30'
30'
Magri K.
32'
32'
Leonetti V.
44'
44'
Tofanari N.
AI Match Summary
Matelica in this Serie C - Group A 2020/2021 tie, finishing 3-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
30%
19%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Matelica
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Sambenedettese haven't matched Matelica's recent run of results.
- 51% — that's where the model lands on Matelica taking it.
- Matelica have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Matelica, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 5 times recently and Matelica have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Matelica Clean Sheet 68%
Sambenedettese Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Matelica | Sambenedettese |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 13 | 6 |
| Draws | 7 | 8 |
| Losses | 10 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.6 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.53 | 1.48 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.23 | 0.99 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 9, 2021 Serie C - Group A
Matelica vs Sambenedettese
3:1
Apr 3, 2021 Serie C - Group B
Matelica vs Sambenedettese
1:0
Dec 13, 2020 Serie C - Group B
Sambenedettese vs Matelica
2:3
Feb 20, 2016 Serie D - Group F
Matelica vs Sambenedettese
1:3
Oct 18, 2015 Serie D - Group F
Sambenedettese vs Matelica
1:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Matelica Compare
Top Goalscorer Calcagni R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Alberti T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61
Sambenedettese Compare
Top Goalscorer D'Angelo A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.55
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Matelica 77 / 100
Sambenedettese 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Matelica Sambenedettese
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Matelica Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Matelica scored in 80% of their last 30 games.
These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Matelica stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Sambenedettese let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.
Scoring Trends
- VS Sambenedettese
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Matelica
(Home) 26 May
Renate
1 : 1 Matelica
23 May
Matelica
1 : 1 Renate
19 May
Cesena
2 : 3 Matelica
09 May
Matelica
3 : 1 Sambenedettese
02 May
Matelica
3 : 0 Imolese
Page 1 of 6
23 May
Matelica
1 : 1 Renate
09 May
Matelica
3 : 1 Sambenedettese
02 May
Matelica
3 : 0 Imolese
18 Apr
Matelica
0 : 0 Fano
03 Apr
Matelica
1 : 0 Sambenedettese
Page 1 of 3
Sambenedettese
(Away) 03 Oct
Grosseto
1 : 3 Sambenedettese
26 Sept
Sambenedettese
1 : 2 Campobasso
21 Sept
Pianese
1 : 1 Sambenedettese
16 Sept
Sambenedettese
2 : 3 Atalanta U23
12 Sept
Pineto
2 : 1 Sambenedettese
Page 1 of 7
03 Oct
Grosseto
1 : 3 Sambenedettese
21 Sept
Pianese
1 : 1 Sambenedettese
12 Sept
Pineto
2 : 1 Sambenedettese
02 Sept
Altamura
3 : 2 Sambenedettese
29 Aug
Sassari Torres
1 : 0 Sambenedettese
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
AlbinoLeffe 1
US Pontedera 0
Lecco 1
Grosseto 4
Modena -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Catanzaro -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FeralpiSalo -
TBD -
Triestina 0
Virtus Verona 1
Bari -
TBD -
Catania 1
Foggia 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Alessandria -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cesena 2
Mantova 1
Matelica 3
Sambenedettese 1
Renate -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Padova -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Juve Stabia 1
Casertana 1
Palermo 2
Teramo 0
Avellino -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Pro Vercelli -
TBD -
Pro Patria 1
Juventus U23 3
Sudtirol -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
1/16-finals
AlbinoLeffe 2
Grosseto 1
Modena -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Catanzaro -
TBD -
FeralpiSalo 1
Virtus Verona 1
Bari 3
Foggia 1
TBD -
TBD -
Alessandria -
TBD -
Cesena 2
Matelica 3
Renate -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Padova -
TBD -
Juve Stabia 0
Palermo 2
Avellino -
TBD -
Pro Vercelli 1
Juventus U23 0
Sudtirol -
TBD -
1/8-finals
AlbinoLeffe 2
Modena 1
TBD -
Catanzaro -
FeralpiSalo 1
Bari 0
TBD -
Alessandria -
Matelica 2
Renate 2
TBD -
Padova -
Palermo 1
Avellino 1
Pro Vercelli 3
Sudtirol 3
Quarter-finals
AlbinoLeffe 2
Catanzaro 1
FeralpiSalo 1
Alessandria 1
Renate 4
Padova 4
Avellino 2
Sudtirol 1
Semi-finals
AlbinoLeffe 3
Alessandria 4
Padova 2
Avellino 1
Final
Alessandria 1
Padova 0
