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Matera vs Angri

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Drole J. A.
54' Event
Di Piazza M.
60' Event
Giordani G.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group H 2024/2025 game between Matera and Angri finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Matera.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Matera
20%
Draws
22%
Angri
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Matera

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Matera carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Matera taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Matera have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Matera Clean Sheet 15%
Angri Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Matera Angri
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 5
Draws 10 6
Losses 10 19
Goals Scored 1.47 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.6 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Matera vs Angri
3:1
Dec 8, 2024 Serie D - Group H
Angri vs Matera
0:2
Jan 14, 2024 Serie D - Group H
Angri vs Matera
1:1
Sep 17, 2023 Serie D - Group H
Matera vs Angri
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Matera Compare

Top Goalscorer Di Piazza M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Giordani G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Angri Compare

Top Goalscorer Drole J. A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Matera 84 / 100
Angri 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Matera Angri

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Matera Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Matera scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Angri conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.

Matera went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Matera VS Angri
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
2 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Matera

(Home)
04 May
Matera
2 : 2
Nocerina
27 Apr
ASD Ugento
1 : 4
Matera
17 Apr
Matera
3 : 1
Angri
13 Apr
Matera
2 : 2
Virtus Francavilla
06 Apr
Costa Amalfi
4 : 2
Matera
Page 1 of 6

Angri

(Away)
04 May
Angri
3 : 1
Costa Amalfi
27 Apr
Nocerina
6 : 0
Angri
17 Apr
Matera
3 : 1
Angri
13 Apr
Angri
2 : 3
Citta di Fasano
06 Apr
Virtus Francavilla
4 : 0
Angri
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Casarano 34 21 11 2 72:30 74
2 Nocerina 34 20 10 4 64:27 70
3 Martina Calcio 34 17 11 6 48:28 62
4 Fidelis Andria 34 16 9 9 41:29 57
5 Citta di Fasano 34 13 11 10 45:32 50
6 Matera 34 12 13 9 51:47 49
7 Virtus Francavilla 34 12 11 11 41:34 47
8 A.C.D. Nardo 34 13 8 13 47:45 47
9 Ischia 34 11 12 11 39:45 45
10 Palmese 1914 34 10 12 12 41:45 42
11 Gravina 34 11 9 14 43:46 42
12 Francavilla 34 11 8 15 28:34 41
13 Acerrana 34 11 8 15 37:50 41
14 ASD Ugento 34 10 7 17 33:51 37
15 Manfredonia 34 8 11 15 33:51 35
16 Brindisi 34 9 14 11 44:43 27
17 Angri 34 6 8 20 35:69 26
18 Costa Amalfi 34 3 11 20 26:62 20
Promotion - Serie D - Group H 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H 2024/2025 (Play Out)