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Matera vs Molfetta Calcio

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Piccioni G.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group H 2022/2023 game between Matera and Molfetta Calcio finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Matera.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Matera
20%
Draws
34%
Molfetta Calcio
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Matera

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Matera come out ahead of Molfetta Calcio on wins alone.
  • Matera are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%
Matera Clean Sheet 68%
Molfetta Calcio Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Matera Molfetta Calcio
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 11 8
Draws 10 7
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.45 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 8, 2023 Serie D - Group H
Matera vs Molfetta Calcio
1:0
Sep 4, 2022 Serie D - Group H
Molfetta Calcio vs Matera
3:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Matera 86 / 100
Molfetta Calcio 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Matera Molfetta Calcio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Matera Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Matera's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Molfetta Calcio's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Matera stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Matera VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Matera

(Home)
04 May
Matera
2 : 2
Nocerina
27 Apr
ASD Ugento
1 : 4
Matera
17 Apr
Matera
3 : 1
Angri
13 Apr
Matera
2 : 2
Virtus Francavilla
06 Apr
Costa Amalfi
4 : 2
Matera
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Molfetta Calcio

(Away)
10 Aug
Molfetta Calcio
2 : 1
Barletta
14 May
Gravina
3 : 1
Molfetta Calcio
07 May
Molfetta Calcio
0 : 2
Afragolese
30 Apr
Altamura
2 : 1
Molfetta Calcio
23 Apr
Molfetta Calcio
1 : 0
Nocerina
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brindisi 34 20 9 5 59:27 69
2 Cavese 34 20 9 5 66:35 69
3 A.C.D. Nardo 34 18 11 5 51:26 65
4 Barletta 34 17 13 4 42:29 64
5 Casarano 34 13 18 3 46:32 57
6 Altamura 34 15 11 8 51:37 56
7 Matera 34 13 11 10 53:46 50
8 Martina Calcio 34 11 12 11 40:43 45
9 Citta di Fasano 34 11 11 12 43:43 44
10 Bitonto 34 11 10 13 45:51 43
11 Afragolese 34 8 15 11 41:45 39
12 San Felice Gladiator 34 8 13 13 42:55 37
13 Nocerina 34 9 9 16 40:51 36
14 Gravina 34 7 15 12 29:41 36
15 Molfetta Calcio 34 7 11 16 40:50 32
16 Francavilla 34 7 9 18 38:51 30
17 Lavello 34 7 5 22 31:68 26
18 Puteolana Internapoli 34 3 10 21 32:59 19
Promotion - Serie D - Group H 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H 2022/2023 (Play Out)