Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Matera vs Rotonda - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

65' Event
Cajazzo I.

AI Match Summary

Rotonda in this Serie D - Group H 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rotonda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Matera
30%
Draws
23%
Rotonda
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Matera

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Rotonda haven't matched Matera's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Matera's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group H 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Matera Clean Sheet 68%
Rotonda Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Matera Rotonda
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 10 9
Draws 10 7
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.41 1
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2024 Serie D - Group H
Matera vs Rotonda
0:1
Nov 19, 2023 Serie D - Group H
Rotonda vs Matera
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Matera Compare

Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Rotonda Compare

Top Goalscorer Cajazzo I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Matera 68 / 100
Rotonda 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Matera Rotonda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Matera Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Matera found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (32 games).

Defensive concern: Rotonda conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Matera has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Matera VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Matera

(Home)
04 May
Matera
2 : 2
Nocerina
27 Apr
ASD Ugento
1 : 4
Matera
17 Apr
Matera
3 : 1
Angri
13 Apr
Matera
2 : 2
Virtus Francavilla
06 Apr
Costa Amalfi
4 : 2
Matera
Page 1 of 7

Rotonda

(Away)
05 May
Palmese 1914
1 : 0
Rotonda
28 Apr
Rotonda
2 : 1
Fidelis Andria
21 Apr
A.C.D. Nardo
1 : 0
Rotonda
14 Apr
Manfredonia
0 : 0
Rotonda
07 Apr
Rotonda
0 : 1
Gelbison
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Altamura 34 21 9 4 51:23 72
2 Martina Calcio 34 18 12 4 51:23 66
3 A.C.D. Nardo 34 20 5 9 53:24 65
4 Fidelis Andria 34 17 10 7 58:32 61
5 Casarano 34 15 10 9 45:32 55
6 Matera 34 15 8 11 45:37 53
7 Paganese 34 12 9 13 42:43 45
8 Palmese 1914 34 13 7 14 45:52 45
9 Gelbison 34 11 10 13 41:37 43
10 Rotonda 34 11 9 14 36:36 42
11 Gravina 34 10 11 13 49:44 41
12 Manfredonia 34 9 15 10 28:38 41
13 Citta di Fasano 34 11 8 15 38:57 41
14 Angri 34 10 9 15 35:52 39
15 Gallipoli 34 8 9 17 27:49 33
16 Barletta 34 6 12 16 30:45 30
17 Bitonto 34 7 9 18 22:45 30
18 Santa Maria Cilento 34 5 10 19 22:55 25
Promotion - Serie D - Group H 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H 2023/2024 (Play Out)