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Matese vs Agnonese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F 2020/2021
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Masi V.
40' Event
Albanese P.
40'
Litterio P.

AI Match Summary

Matese in this Serie D - Group F 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Matese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Matese
20%
Draws
40%
Agnonese
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Agnonese haven't matched Matese's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group F 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Matese Clean Sheet 19%
Agnonese Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Matese Agnonese
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 6 3
Draws 8 6
Losses 17 21
Goals Scored 0.65 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.45 2.33
Expected Goals (xG) 0.79 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2021 Serie D - Group F
Matese vs Agnonese
2:0
Sep 27, 2020 Serie D - Group F
Agnonese vs Matese
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Matese Compare

Top Goalscorer Masi V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Albanese P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.61
Avg xA / game 0.4

Agnonese Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Matese 32 / 100
Agnonese 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Matese Agnonese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Agnonese conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Agnonese's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Matese found the back of the net in 32% of recent matches (31 games).

Scoring Trends

Matese VS -
0.38 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Matese

(Home)
05 May
Matese
0 : 0
Calcio Chieti
28 Apr
Real Monterotondo
3 : 0
Matese
21 Apr
Matese
0 : 2
Termoli
14 Apr
United Riccione
2 : 0
Matese
07 Apr
Matese
2 : 1
Notaresco Calcio
Page 1 of 7

Agnonese

(Away)
19 Jun
Agnonese
2 : 2
Montegiorgio
16 Jun
Castelfidardo
4 : 0
Agnonese
13 Jun
Agnonese
2 : 4
Aprilia
06 Jun
Agnonese
0 : 2
Roma City
30 May
Agnonese
1 : 0
Porto Sant'Elpidio
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Campobasso 34 21 9 4 63:29 72
2 Notaresco Calcio 34 18 10 6 59:34 64
3 Pineto 34 15 11 8 45:33 56
4 Cynthialbalonga 34 14 14 6 51:35 56
5 Matese 34 15 11 8 46:38 56
6 Castelfidardo 34 14 13 7 46:33 55
7 Recanatese 34 13 11 10 62:45 50
8 Castelnuovo Vomano 34 14 8 12 53:53 50
9 Vastese 34 12 13 9 45:37 48
10 Montegiorgio 34 13 7 14 42:42 46
11 FC Rieti 34 12 8 14 38:42 44
12 Aprilia 34 11 11 12 43:49 44
13 Roma City 34 8 16 10 40:41 40
14 US Tolentino 34 9 13 12 52:53 40
15 Vastogirardi 34 10 10 14 46:51 40
16 Giulianova 34 7 10 17 33:50 31
17 Porto Sant'Elpidio 34 4 5 25 22:63 17
18 Agnonese 34 3 6 25 25:83 15
Promotion - Serie D - Group F 2020/2021 (Play Offs)