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Matese vs Real Monterotondo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Manca N.

AI Match Summary

Real Monterotondo in this Serie D - Group F 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Real Monterotondo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Matese
15%
Draws
59%
Real Monterotondo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Real Monterotondo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Real Monterotondo have won more games recently than Matese.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on Real Monterotondo taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group F 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Matese Clean Sheet 19%
Real Monterotondo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Matese Real Monterotondo
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 5 10
Draws 8 6
Losses 17 16
Goals Scored 0.6 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 28, 2024 Serie D - Group F
Real Monterotondo vs Matese
3:0
Dec 16, 2023 Serie D - Group F
Matese vs Real Monterotondo
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Matese Compare

Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Real Monterotondo Compare

Top Goalscorer Manca N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Matese 24 / 100
Real Monterotondo 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Matese Real Monterotondo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Real Monterotondo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Monterotondo let in goals in 81% of their last 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Matese's goal record stands at 30% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Solid form: Matese remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Real Monterotondo
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Matese

(Home)
05 May
Matese
0 : 0
Calcio Chieti
28 Apr
Real Monterotondo
3 : 0
Matese
21 Apr
Matese
0 : 2
Termoli
14 Apr
United Riccione
2 : 0
Matese
07 Apr
Matese
2 : 1
Notaresco Calcio
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Real Monterotondo

(Away)
10 May
Anzio Calcio 1924
2 : 1
Real Monterotondo
03 May
Real Monterotondo
0 : 5
Valmontone
26 Apr
Atl. Lodigiani
0 : 2
Real Monterotondo
19 Apr
Real Monterotondo
2 : 1
Sarrabus Ogliastra
12 Apr
Real Monterotondo
3 : 1
Cassino
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Campobasso 34 20 10 4 55:29 70
2 Aquila Calcio 34 20 8 6 40:22 68
3 Avezzano 34 17 8 9 50:33 59
4 Sambenedettese 34 15 13 6 57:36 58
5 Roma City 34 14 10 10 56:37 52
6 Atletico Ascoli 34 12 14 8 39:33 50
7 Vigor Senigallia 34 13 10 11 57:50 49
8 Calcio Chieti 34 12 12 10 35:34 48
9 Notaresco Calcio 34 11 12 11 37:38 45
10 Termoli 34 11 10 13 30:36 43
11 Fossombrone 34 8 17 9 28:28 41
12 AS Sora 34 10 11 13 37:37 41
13 Real Monterotondo 34 12 5 17 42:60 41
14 Tivoli Calcio 34 10 7 17 38:55 37
15 United Riccione 34 10 7 17 48:51 37
16 Fano 34 6 14 14 35:49 32
17 Vastogirardi 34 7 8 19 26:51 29
18 Matese 34 6 8 20 20:51 26
Promotion - Serie D - Group F 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group F 2023/2024 (Play Out)