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Matese vs Termoli

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Gabrielli L. I.
90' Event
Ousfar M.
90'
Galesio L.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group F 2023/2024 game between Matese and Termoli finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Termoli.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Matese
30%
Draws
39%
Termoli
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Termoli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Matese haven't matched Termoli's recent run of results.
  • Termoli are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group F 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
Matese Clean Sheet 20%
Termoli Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Matese Termoli
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 5 7
Draws 8 15
Losses 17 10
Goals Scored 0.6 0.69
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.78
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 0.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 21, 2024 Serie D - Group F
Matese vs Termoli
0:2
Dec 10, 2023 Serie D - Group F
Termoli vs Matese
0:0
Mar 5, 2023 Serie D - Group F
Matese vs Termoli
1:1
Oct 30, 2022 Serie D - Group F
Termoli vs Matese
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Matese Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Termoli Compare

Top Goalscorer Gabrielli L. I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ousfar M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.73
Avg xA / game 0.44

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Matese 20 / 100
Termoli 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Matese Termoli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Termoli Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Termoli let in goals in 66% of their last 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Matese's goal record stands at 30% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Matese has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Termoli
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Matese

(Home)
05 May
Matese
0 : 0
Calcio Chieti
28 Apr
Real Monterotondo
3 : 0
Matese
21 Apr
Matese
0 : 2
Termoli
14 Apr
United Riccione
2 : 0
Matese
07 Apr
Matese
2 : 1
Notaresco Calcio
Page 1 of 6

Termoli

(Away)
03 May
Termoli
1 : 1
Aquila Calcio
26 Apr
Ostiamare
1 : 0
Termoli
19 Apr
Termoli
1 : 2
Notaresco Calcio
15 Apr
Termoli
1 : 0
Sammaurese
12 Apr
Teramo
0 : 0
Termoli
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Campobasso 34 20 10 4 55:29 70
2 Aquila Calcio 34 20 8 6 40:22 68
3 Avezzano 34 17 8 9 50:33 59
4 Sambenedettese 34 15 13 6 57:36 58
5 Roma City 34 14 10 10 56:37 52
6 Atletico Ascoli 34 12 14 8 39:33 50
7 Vigor Senigallia 34 13 10 11 57:50 49
8 Calcio Chieti 34 12 12 10 35:34 48
9 Notaresco Calcio 34 11 12 11 37:38 45
10 Termoli 34 11 10 13 30:36 43
11 Fossombrone 34 8 17 9 28:28 41
12 AS Sora 34 10 11 13 37:37 41
13 Real Monterotondo 34 12 5 17 42:60 41
14 Tivoli Calcio 34 10 7 17 38:55 37
15 United Riccione 34 10 7 17 48:51 37
16 Fano 34 6 14 14 35:49 32
17 Vastogirardi 34 7 8 19 26:51 29
18 Matese 34 6 8 20 20:51 26
Promotion - Serie D - Group F 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group F 2023/2024 (Play Out)