Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Matlock vs Gresley

England England

FA Trophy 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with Matlock advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Matlock
15%
Draws
0%
Gresley
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Matlock

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Gresley carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Matlock are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Gresley arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Matlock, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Matlock Clean Sheet 17%
Gresley Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Matlock Gresley
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 10 11
Draws 9 5
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.68 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 31, 2015 FA Trophy
Matlock vs Gresley
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Matlock 84 / 100
Gresley 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Matlock Gresley

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Matlock Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Matlock scored in 81% of their last 31 outings.

Difficult form: Gresley registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Gresley's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Matlock VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Matlock

(Home)
29 Aug
Lichfield City
0 : 5
Matlock
25 Jul
Carlton Town
1 : 4
Matlock
18 Jul
Matlock
1 : 1
Rotherham
14 Jul
Matlock
1 : 3
Quorn
04 Jul
Matlock
0 : 2
Barnsley
Page 1 of 7

Gresley

(Away)
23 Jul
Gresley
0 : 1
Nuneaton
09 Sept
Gresley
0 : 6
Kidsgrove Athletic
13 Sept
Long Eaton
2 : 0
Gresley
13 Oct
Gresley
1 : 2
Newcastle Town
07 Oct
Gresley
0 : 1
Bedworth United
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Blyth Spartans -
TBD -
Scarborough Athletic 0
Kendal 4
Workington -
TBD -
TBD -
Whitby -
Ashton United -
TBD -
TBD -
Ramsbottom Utd -
Histon -
TBD -
TBD -
Stratford -
Evesham 3
Chasetown 2
TBD -
Redditch -
Goole -
TBD -
Glossop North End 3
Spennymoor 4
Buxton -
TBD -
TBD -
Frickley -
Witton Albion 4
Ossett Albion 2
Droylsden 1
Radcliffe 2
Skelmersdale -
TBD -
TBD -
Hyde -
Stafford 3
Tividale 1
Leek Town 1
Lincoln Utd. 3
Sutton Coldfield Town -
TBD -
Daventry 2
Coalville Town 3
Mossley AFC 1
Harrogate Railway 0
TBD -
Darlington FC -
Nantwich -
TBD -
TBD -
Salford -
Belper Town 1
Market Drayton 0
TBD -
King’s Lynn -
Shaw Lane 3
New Mills 0
Prescot Cables 0
Farsley 4
Gresley 2
Romulus 1
TBD -
Matlock -
Leamington -
TBD -
TBD -
Barwell -
Mickleover -
TBD -
TBD -
Rushall -
Warrington Town 2
Ossett Town 1
TBD -
Brighouse Town -
Grantham Town -
TBD -
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 1
Basford Utd. 3
Marine -
TBD -
Trafford 1
Sheffield FC 4
Newcastle Town 5
Spalding United 4
Loughborough Dynamo 0
Kidsgrove Athletic 3
Ilkeston F.C. (inactive) -
TBD -
TBD -
Cambridge City -
Northwich Victoria 5
Lancaster 1
Clitheroe 1
Stocksbridge 2
Kettering -
TBD -
Rugby 2
St Ives Town 4
Colwyn Bay -
TBD -
Bamber Bridge 0
Burscough 2
Stourbridge -
TBD -
TBD -
Halesowen -
Stamford -
TBD -
Soham 1
Carlton Town 3
Bideford -
TBD -
TBD -
Farnborough -
Aylesbury Vale 3
Hythe 0
TBD -
Brentwood -
Neots -
TBD -
TBD -
Bedworth United -
Hungerford -
TBD -
Yate 1
Banbury 3
Haringey Borough 2
Folkestone 1
TBD -
Dunstable Town -
Burgess Hill -
TBD -
TBD -
Hitchin -
Thurrock 2
Guernsey FC 0
TBD -
Chatham -
Heybridge 2
Aylesbury United 1
Hanwell Town 1
Cheshunt 2
Phoenix Sports 1
Whyteleafe 0
TBD -
Tonbridge -
North Leigh 4
Bishops Cleeve 2
TBD -
Cirencester -
Enfield Town -
TBD -
Carshalton 0
Leighton Town 2
Ramsgate 3
Maldon & Tiptree 2
Brightlingsea 2
Thamesmead 5
Tilbury 5
Barkingside 0
Walton & Hersham 2
Tooting & Mitcham 3
Wingate & Finchley -
TBD -
Great Wakering 0
Royston Town 3
Leiston -
TBD -
Whitstable Town 2
Worthing FC 4
Redbridge 3
Arlesey 1
Three Bridges 1
Corinthian-Casuals 2
Bedford -
TBD -
Potters 1
Northwood 2
Winchester City 3
Petersfield 1
TBD -
Weymouth -
Swindon Supermarine -
TBD -
TBD -
Paulton Rovers -
Billericay -
TBD -
TBD -
Chesham -
Taunton Town 4
Godalming Town 1
Burnham FC 0
Dorking Wanderers 2
East Grinstead Town 3
Cray Wanderers 2
TBD -
Bognor Regis -
Molesey 5
Fleet Town 1
Bridgwater United 1
Didcot 3
Merstham -
TBD -
Ware 1
Harlow 3
East Thurrock Utd -
TBD -
Aveley 1
South Park 4
Peacehaven & Telscombe -
TBD -
AFC Totton 0
Tiverton 2
Waltham Abbey 2
Dereham 1
Beaconsfield Town 0
Chalfont St Peter 3
Biggleswade Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Grays -
Dulwich Hamlet -
TBD -
TBD -
Harrow Borough -
Staines -
TBD -
TBD -
VCD Athletic -
Frome Town -
TBD -
Slimbridge 0
Egham Town 1
Romford 3
North Greenford Utd. 2
TBD -
Slough Town -
Lewes -
TBD -
TBD -
Hampton & Richmond -
Hendon -
TBD -
Barton 4
Sudbury 5
Dorchester -
TBD -
TBD -
Chippenham Town -
Leatherhead -
TBD -
TBD -
Kingstonian -
Marlow 5
Wantage 2
Wimborne 1
Larkhall 3
Bashley 1
Cinderford Town 0
Shortwood 3
Mangotsfield 4
Canvey Island -
TBD -
TBD -
Needham Market -
Hornchurch -
TBD -
TBD -
Metropolitan Police -
Hastings 3
Wroxham 2
Uxbridge 1
Chipstead 2
Poole Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Merthyr Town -
Bury Town 1
Faversham 0
TBD -
Kings Langley -
Herne Bay 4
FC Witham Town 2
Sittingbourne 0
Walton Casuals 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
Blyth Spartans 4
Kendal 0
Workington 0
Whitby 3
Ashton United 5
Ramsbottom Utd 4
Histon 1
Stratford 4
Evesham 1
Redditch 0
Goole 3
Spennymoor 6
Buxton 2
Frickley 1
Witton Albion 1
Radcliffe 2
Skelmersdale 4
Hyde 3
Stafford 2
Lincoln Utd. 3
Sutton Coldfield Town 2
Coalville Town 0
Mossley AFC 2
Darlington FC 3
Nantwich 2
Salford 1
Belper Town 2
King’s Lynn 6
Shaw Lane 4
Farsley 3
Gresley 0
Matlock 2
Leamington 6
Barwell 1
Mickleover 0
Rushall 1
Warrington Town 2
Brighouse Town 0
Grantham Town 1
Basford Utd. 3
Marine 1
Sheffield FC 0
Newcastle Town 2
Kidsgrove Athletic 5
Ilkeston F.C. (inactive) 1
Cambridge City 0
Northwich Victoria 1
Stocksbridge 2
Kettering 1
St Ives Town 0
Colwyn Bay 0
Burscough 1
Stourbridge 2
Halesowen 1
Stamford 1
Carlton Town 2
Bideford 4
Farnborough 3
Aylesbury Vale 1
Brentwood 3
Neots 2
Bedworth United 0
Hungerford 3
Banbury 0
Haringey Borough 3
Dunstable Town 1
Burgess Hill 2
Hitchin 3
Thurrock 3
Chatham 0
Heybridge 0
Cheshunt 2
Phoenix Sports 1
Tonbridge 3
North Leigh 1
Cirencester 2
Enfield Town 4
Leighton Town 0
Ramsgate 0
Thamesmead 1
Tilbury 2
Tooting & Mitcham 1
Wingate & Finchley 0
Royston Town 2
Leiston 3
Worthing FC 1
Redbridge 1
Corinthian-Casuals 4
Bedford 3
Northwood 1
Winchester City 1
Weymouth 2
Swindon Supermarine 3
Paulton Rovers 2
Billericay 0
Chesham 2
Taunton Town 4
Dorking Wanderers 2
East Grinstead Town 0
Bognor Regis 3
Molesey 1
Didcot 0
Merstham 2
Harlow 6
East Thurrock Utd 4
South Park 0
Peacehaven & Telscombe 0
Tiverton 3
Waltham Abbey 3
Chalfont St Peter 1
Biggleswade Town 1
Grays 2
Dulwich Hamlet 3
Harrow Borough 0
Staines 1
VCD Athletic 2
Frome Town 2
Egham Town 1
Romford 0
Slough Town 4
Lewes 1
Hampton & Richmond 2
Hendon 0
Sudbury 1
Dorchester 2
Chippenham Town 1
Leatherhead 1
Kingstonian 5
Marlow 3
Larkhall 0
Bashley 1
Mangotsfield 6
Canvey Island 2
Needham Market 0
Hornchurch 2
Metropolitan Police 3
Hastings 2
Chipstead 1
Poole Town 0
Merthyr Town 1
Bury Town 2
Kings Langley 0
Herne Bay 4
Walton Casuals 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stage 6
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stage 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stage 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stage 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stage 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stage 1
TBD -
TBD -
Final
Blyth Spartans 1
Whitby 0
Ashton United 2
Stratford 1
Evesham 1
Spennymoor 2
Buxton 5
Radcliffe 1
Skelmersdale 4
Lincoln Utd. 2
Sutton Coldfield Town 1
Darlington FC 0
Nantwich 5
King’s Lynn 1
Shaw Lane 1
Matlock 2
Leamington 3
Rushall 2
Warrington Town 3
Basford Utd. 0
Marine 3
Kidsgrove Athletic 2
Ilkeston F.C. (inactive) 3
Stocksbridge 4
Kettering 0
Burscough 3
Stourbridge 2
Carlton Town 0
Bideford 3
Brentwood 2
Neots 1
Hungerford 2
Haringey Borough 1
Hitchin 4
Thurrock 3
Cheshunt 1
Tonbridge 1
Cirencester 2
Enfield Town 0
Thamesmead 2
Tilbury 4
Royston Town 2
Leiston 1
Corinthian-Casuals 2
Bedford 1
Weymouth 4
Swindon Supermarine 2
Chesham 3
Taunton Town 1
Bognor Regis 4
Molesey 4
Harlow 3
East Thurrock Utd 5
Tiverton 0
Waltham Abbey 0
Grays 2
Dulwich Hamlet 2
VCD Athletic 0
Frome Town 2
Slough Town 1
Hampton & Richmond 3
Sudbury 1
Dorchester 3
Kingstonian 4
Marlow 1
Mangotsfield 0
Canvey Island 0
Metropolitan Police 2
Hastings 1
Merthyr Town 2
Bury Town 3
Herne Bay 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -