Sport Picks
Match Events
20'
20'
Cambuhy L.
(Penalty)
38'
38'
da Silva K.
63'
63'
Di Bonito J.
AI Match Summary
Matonense in this Paulista B matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Matonense.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
41%
30%
29%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Matonense
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
41%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Matonense lately — more wins on the board than Santacruzense.
- 41% — that's where the model lands on Matonense taking it.
- Regular Paulista B form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Matonense here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Matonense Clean Sheet 20%
Santacruzense Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Matonense | Santacruzense |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 7 |
| Draws | 3 | 7 |
| Losses | 19 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.43 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.97 | 1.77 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.25 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 31, 2026 Paulista B
Santacruzense vs Matonense
1:2
Apr 26, 2026 Paulista B
Matonense vs Santacruzense
2:1
Feb 9, 2014 Paulista A3
Santacruzense vs Matonense
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Matonense Compare
Top Goalscorer da Silva K.
1 Goals Assists Leader Di Bonito J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13
Santacruzense Compare
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Matonense 85 / 100
Santacruzense 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Matonense Santacruzense
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Matonense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Santacruzense let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.
H2H data points to 2.67 goals as a typical output.
Matonense went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Matonense found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).
Scoring Trends
Matonense VS Santacruzense
3.13 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Matonense
(Home) 18 Jul
Flamengo SP
3 : 1 Matonense
11 Jul
Matonense
0 : 1 Flamengo SP
04 Jul
Matonense
0 : 0 Assisense
27 Jun
Assisense
0 : 1 Matonense
20 Jun
Matonense
2 : 1 Mogi Mirim
Page 1 of 6
11 Jul
Matonense
0 : 1 Flamengo SP
04 Jul
Matonense
0 : 0 Assisense
20 Jun
Matonense
2 : 1 Mogi Mirim
07 Jun
Matonense
1 : 1 Sao Carlos
24 May
Matonense
0 : 2 Independente SP
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Santacruzense
(Away) 04 Jul
America SP
3 : 0 Santacruzense
28 Jun
Santacruzense
0 : 0 America SP
20 Jun
Santacruzense
1 : 1 Sao Carlos
13 Jun
Mogi Mirim
1 : 0 Santacruzense
07 Jun
Independente SP
0 : 1 Santacruzense
Page 1 of 6
04 Jul
America SP
3 : 0 Santacruzense
13 Jun
Mogi Mirim
1 : 0 Santacruzense
07 Jun
Independente SP
0 : 1 Santacruzense
24 May
Catanduvense
1 : 5 Santacruzense
16 May
Sao Carlos
1 : 1 Santacruzense
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jose Bonifacio EC | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 17:6 | 22 |
| 2 | America SP | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 13:7 | 19 |
| 3 | Assisense | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 17:15 | 14 |
| 4 | Tupa | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 14:16 | 13 |
| 5 | Riopretano | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 9:16 | 7 |
| 6 | Santa Fe SP | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 10:20 | 6 |
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independente SP | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 37:7 | 24 |
| 2 | Matonense | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 28:10 | 22 |
| 3 | Sao Carlos | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 19:11 | 15 |
| 4 | Santacruzense | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 19:13 | 14 |
| 5 | Mogi Mirim | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 15:15 | 12 |
| 6 | Catanduvense | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4:66 | 0 |
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo SP | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 13:6 | 23 |
| 2 | Paulinense | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 9:16 | 15 |
| 3 | Audax-SP | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 15:9 | 13 |
| 4 | Paulinia FU | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 11:14 | 10 |
| 5 | Votoraty SP | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 12:19 | 7 |
| 6 | Guarulhos | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 19:15 | 4 |
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Itaqua | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 21:6 | 25 |
| 2 | Maua FC | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 20:15 | 16 |
| 3 | Uniao Mogi | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 4 | Manthiqueira | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17:17 | 14 |
| 5 | Mauaense | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 6 | Barcelona SP | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5:26 | 0 |
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)
