Sport Picks
Matonense vs Sao Carlos - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Brazil
Paulista B 
Match Events
50'
50'
Dudu
69'
69'
Ferreira C.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Paulista B matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
41%
30%
29%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Matonense
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
41%
/ Low Confidence
- Matonense haven't matched Sao Carlos's recent run of results.
- Matonense are the model's pick here, at 70%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Matonense Clean Sheet 68%
Sao Carlos Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Matonense | Sao Carlos |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 9 |
| Draws | 3 | 7 |
| Losses | 19 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.43 | 1.4 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.97 | 1.27 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.25 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 7, 2026 Paulista B
Matonense vs Sao Carlos
1:1
May 2, 2026 Paulista B
Sao Carlos vs Matonense
0:2
Mar 7, 2018 Paulista A3
Matonense vs Sao Carlos
1:2
Mar 15, 2017 Paulista A3
Sao Carlos vs Matonense
2:0
Mar 23, 2016 Paulista A3
Matonense vs Sao Carlos
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Matonense Compare
Top Goalscorer Ferreira C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13
Sao Carlos Compare
Top Goalscorer Dudu
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Matonense 77 / 100
Sao Carlos 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Matonense Sao Carlos
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Matonense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sao Carlos let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 2.40 goals.
Solid form: Matonense remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Matonense found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).
Scoring Trends
Matonense VS Sao Carlos
3.25 Goals Scored 1.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Matonense
(Home) 18 Jul
Flamengo SP
3 : 1 Matonense
11 Jul
Matonense
0 : 1 Flamengo SP
04 Jul
Matonense
0 : 0 Assisense
27 Jun
Assisense
0 : 1 Matonense
20 Jun
Matonense
2 : 1 Mogi Mirim
Page 1 of 6
11 Jul
Matonense
0 : 1 Flamengo SP
04 Jul
Matonense
0 : 0 Assisense
20 Jun
Matonense
2 : 1 Mogi Mirim
07 Jun
Matonense
1 : 1 Sao Carlos
24 May
Matonense
0 : 2 Independente SP
Page 1 of 4
Sao Carlos
(Away) 05 Jul
Paulinense
2 : 0 Sao Carlos
27 Jun
Sao Carlos
0 : 1 Paulinense
20 Jun
Santacruzense
1 : 1 Sao Carlos
13 Jun
Sao Carlos
2 : 0 Independente SP
07 Jun
Matonense
1 : 1 Sao Carlos
Page 1 of 6
05 Jul
Paulinense
2 : 0 Sao Carlos
20 Jun
Santacruzense
1 : 1 Sao Carlos
07 Jun
Matonense
1 : 1 Sao Carlos
23 May
Mogi Mirim
3 : 1 Sao Carlos
10 May
Independente SP
2 : 1 Sao Carlos
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jose Bonifacio EC | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 17:6 | 22 |
| 2 | America SP | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 13:7 | 19 |
| 3 | Assisense | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 17:15 | 14 |
| 4 | Tupa | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 14:16 | 13 |
| 5 | Riopretano | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 9:16 | 7 |
| 6 | Santa Fe SP | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 10:20 | 6 |
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independente SP | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 37:7 | 24 |
| 2 | Matonense | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 28:10 | 22 |
| 3 | Sao Carlos | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 19:11 | 15 |
| 4 | Santacruzense | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 19:13 | 14 |
| 5 | Mogi Mirim | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 15:15 | 12 |
| 6 | Catanduvense | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4:66 | 0 |
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo SP | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 13:6 | 23 |
| 2 | Paulinense | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 9:16 | 15 |
| 3 | Audax-SP | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 15:9 | 13 |
| 4 | Paulinia FU | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 11:14 | 10 |
| 5 | Votoraty SP | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 12:19 | 7 |
| 6 | Guarulhos | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 19:15 | 4 |
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Itaqua | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 21:6 | 25 |
| 2 | Maua FC | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 20:15 | 16 |
| 3 | Uniao Mogi | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 4 | Manthiqueira | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17:17 | 14 |
| 5 | Mauaense | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 6 | Barcelona SP | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5:26 | 0 |
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)
