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Matrei vs TSV Grafenstein - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Austria Austria

Karnten
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Karnten matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Matrei
30%
Draws
39%
TSV Grafenstein
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: TSV Grafenstein

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • TSV Grafenstein have won more games recently than Matrei.
  • Win probability leans TSV Grafenstein's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Matrei Clean Sheet 10%
TSV Grafenstein Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Matrei TSV Grafenstein
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 13
Draws 7 8
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.27 2.16
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2026 Karnten
Matrei vs TSV Grafenstein
2:2
May 16, 2026 Karnten
Matrei vs TSV Grafenstein
1:3
Oct 11, 2025 Karnten
TSV Grafenstein vs Matrei
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Matrei 26 / 100
TSV Grafenstein 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Matrei TSV Grafenstein

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TSV Grafenstein Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

TSV Grafenstein let in goals in 81% of their last 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.67 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Matrei scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Matrei went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Matrei VS TSV Grafenstein
2 Goals Scored 2.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Matrei

(Home)
03 Oct
Matrei
3 : 2
KAC 1909
25 Sept
SC St. Veit
2 : 2
Matrei
18 Sept
Matrei
6 : 2
Seeboden
13 Sept
Launsdorf
0 : 0
Matrei
04 Sept
Matrei
1 : 3
SC Landskron
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TSV Grafenstein

(Away)
03 Oct
TSV Grafenstein
2 : 2
Dellach/Gail
26 Sept
Launsdorf
3 : 1
TSV Grafenstein
18 Sept
TSV Grafenstein
6 : 2
Saint Michael Lavanttal
13 Sept
SC Landskron
1 : 4
TSV Grafenstein
04 Sept
TSV Grafenstein
4 : 1
Nussdorf
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