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Maua FC U20 vs Capivariano U20 Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Paulista U20
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Gustavo Cruz
65'
Thiago
65'
Thiago

AI Match Summary

Capivariano U20 in this Paulista U20 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Capivariano U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Maua FC U20
15%
Draws
59%
Capivariano U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Capivariano U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Capivariano U20 lately — more wins on the board than Maua FC U20.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on Capivariano U20 taking it.
  • Regular Paulista U20 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Maua FC U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Capivariano U20 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maua FC U20 Capivariano U20
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 6 10
Draws 7 13
Losses 17 8
Goals Scored 0.67 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.6 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2026 Paulista U20
Maua FC U20 vs Capivariano U20
0:1
Jun 6, 2025 Paulista U20
Capivariano U20 vs Maua FC U20
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maua FC U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Capivariano U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Gustavo Cruz
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maua FC U20 10 / 100
Capivariano U20 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maua FC U20 Capivariano U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Capivariano U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Capivariano U20 conceded in 61% of 31 recent games.

Maua FC U20's goal record stands at 43% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 0.50 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Maua FC U20 stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Maua FC U20 VS Capivariano U20
0.5 Goals Scored 1.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Maua FC U20

(Home)
12 Sept
Referencia U20
2 : 0
Maua FC U20
04 Sept
Maua FC U20
0 : 1
Capivariano U20
21 Aug
Bragantino U20
4 : 0
Maua FC U20
14 Aug
Maua FC U20
0 : 5
Osasco Audax U20
11 Aug
Porto Football U20
0 : 1
Maua FC U20
Page 1 of 6

Capivariano U20

(Away)
25 Sept
Agua Santa U20
0 : 2
Capivariano U20
19 Sept
Capivariano U20
0 : 1
Agua Santa U20
12 Sept
Capivariano U20
1 : 1
Tanabi U20
04 Sept
Maua FC U20
0 : 1
Capivariano U20
21 Aug
Flamengo SP U20
1 : 0
Capivariano U20
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santos U20 13 10 2 1 32:5 32
2 Corinthians U20 13 10 2 1 29:3 32
3 CA Juventus U20 13 9 1 3 35:16 28
4 Ferroviaria U20 13 7 4 2 21:9 25
5 Portuguesa U20 13 7 4 2 21:13 25
6 Sertaozinho U20 13 5 4 4 13:12 19
7 Portuguesa Santista U20 13 5 2 6 16:19 17
8 Ponte Preta U20 13 4 3 6 15:29 15
9 Uniao Suzano U20 13 4 2 7 10:21 14
10 Jabaquara U20 13 4 1 8 9:17 13
11 Itapirense U20 13 3 1 9 14:29 10
12 America SP U20 13 3 0 10 8:31 9
13 Sao Bento U20 13 2 3 8 14:24 9
14 Mirassol U20 13 1 5 7 12:21 8
Promotion - Paulista U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ibrachina U20 14 11 1 2 34:8 34
2 Sao Paulo U20 14 10 3 1 23:4 33
3 Novorizontino U20 14 7 4 3 23:13 25
4 Santo Andre U20 14 6 4 4 22:16 22
5 Desportivo U20 14 6 4 4 19:13 22
6 Osasco Sporting U20 14 5 6 3 19:17 21
7 Botafogo SP U20 14 4 7 3 24:17 19
8 Piracicaba U20 14 3 10 1 12:9 19
9 EC Sao Bernardo U20 14 3 7 4 18:18 16
10 Paulinense U20 14 4 3 7 13:18 15
11 CA Bandeirante U20 14 3 3 8 12:26 12
12 Uniao Sao Joao U20 14 2 6 6 11:15 12
13 Sao Caetano U20 14 3 2 9 14:25 11
14 Velo Clube U20 14 1 8 5 6:24 11
15 Aguai U20 14 2 2 10 10:37 8
Promotion - Paulista U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bragantino U20 14 13 0 1 61:9 39
2 Palmeiras U20 14 11 2 1 29:7 35
3 Guarani U20 14 11 1 2 28:11 34
4 Sfera U20 14 7 1 6 28:16 22
5 Osasco Audax U20 14 6 4 4 20:13 22
6 Agua Santa U20 14 6 3 5 19:23 21
7 Capivariano U20 14 5 6 3 20:14 21
8 Flamengo SP U20 14 5 2 7 11:20 17
9 XV de Jau U20 14 5 2 7 13:26 17
10 Gremio Prudente U20 14 4 4 6 22:25 16
11 Ituano U20 14 3 5 6 17:26 14
12 Referencia U20 14 4 1 9 11:21 13
13 Maua FC U20 14 2 3 9 7:28 9
14 Tanabi U20 14 2 3 9 11:37 9
15 Porto Football U20 14 2 1 11 6:27 7
Promotion - Paulista U20 (Play Offs)