Sport Picks

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Maua FC vs Uniao Mogi

Brazil Brazil

Paulista B
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Maua FC play Uniao Mogi in the Paulista B. It looks like a close match. Recently, Maua FC averaged 1.38 goals scored and 1.88 conceded. Uniao Mogi averaged 1.38 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. In past meetings, Maua FC won 3, Uniao Mogi won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jul 4, 2026 ended 0:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.44 for Maua FC and 1.63 for Uniao Mogi. This points to a Maua FC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Maua FC
39%
Draws
31%
Uniao Mogi
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Maua FC has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Uniao Mogi.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 39% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Paulista B provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Maua FC Clean Sheet 14%
Uniao Mogi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maua FC Uniao Mogi
Matches Played 36 29
Wins 14 8
Draws 12 8
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.38 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Paulista B
Maua FC vs Uniao Mogi
0:3
Jun 27, 2026 Paulista B
Uniao Mogi vs Maua FC
2:3
Jun 6, 2026 Paulista B
Maua FC vs Uniao Mogi
0:0
May 3, 2026 Paulista B
Uniao Mogi vs Maua FC
2:3
Jun 14, 2025 Paulista B
Uniao Mogi vs Maua FC
2:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maua FC 30 / 100
Uniao Mogi 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maua FC Uniao Mogi

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maua FC scored in 75% of their last 36 games.

Uniao Mogi let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Maua FC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Uniao Mogi lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Maua FC VS Uniao Mogi
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Jose Bonifacio EC1064017:622
2America SP1054113:719
3Assisense1035217:1514
4Tupa1041514:1613
5Riopretano101459:167
6Santa Fe SP1020810:206
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Independente SP1080237:724
2Matonense1071228:1022
3Sao Carlos1043319:1115
4Santacruzense1042419:1314
5Mogi Mirim1040615:1512
6Catanduvense1000104:660
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Flamengo SP1072113:623
2Paulinense105059:1615
3Audax-SP1051415:913
4Paulinia FU1031611:1410
5Votoraty SP1021712:197
6Guarulhos1051419:154
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Itaqua1081121:625
2Maua FC1044220:1516
3Uniao Mogi1052314:1314
4Manthiqueira1042417:1714
5Mauaense1033410:1012
6Barcelona SP1000105:260