Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mauaense U20 vs Maua FC U20

Brazil Brazil

Paulista U20 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mauaense U20 play Maua FC U20 in the Paulista U20 2024. Maua FC U20 are favorites here. Recently, Mauaense U20 averaged 0.88 goals scored and 3.25 conceded. Maua FC U20 averaged 1.03 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. In past meetings, Mauaense U20 won 0, Maua FC U20 won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 17, 2024 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.04 for Mauaense U20 and 0.86 for Maua FC U20. This points to a Maua FC U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

14%
Mauaense U20
22%
Draws
64%
Maua FC U20
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Maua FC U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Mauaense U20 picked up more points recently compared to Maua FC U20.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.04 vs 0.86 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 56%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 81%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 54%
Mauaense U20 Clean Sheet 25%
Maua FC U20 Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 73%
Second Half Goal 77%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mauaense U20 Maua FC U20
Matches Played 16 32
Wins 0 11
Draws 3 7
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 0.88 1.03
Goals Conceded 3.25 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2024 Paulista U20
Mauaense U20 vs Maua FC U20
1:2
Apr 12, 2024 Paulista U20
Maua FC U20 vs Mauaense U20
3:0
Jan 4, 2023 Copinha
Mauaense U20 vs Maua FC U20
1:1
Jan 4, 2022 Copinha
Mauaense U20 vs Maua FC U20
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mauaense U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Maua FC U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Luis Felipe
1 Goals
Assists Leader Henrique J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mauaense U20 18 / 100
Maua FC U20 60 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mauaense U20 Maua FC U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Maua FC U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Maua FC U20 & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +133.4%
16.67
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12%
2.00
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Mauaense U20 attacking → ← attacking Maua FC U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mauaense U20 scored in 75% of their last 16 games.

Maua FC U20 let in goals in 78% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

Mauaense U20 went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Maua FC U20 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

3 Points in last 5 40
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.63
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Mirassol U201091033:528
2Jose Bonifacio EC U201081124:725
3Olimpia FC U20104159:1813
4Tanabi U201040612:1712
5Rio Preto EC U20102089:236
6Fernandopolis U20101185:224
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Novorizontino U201091037:528
2Gremio Prudente U201071217:922
3Marilia AC U201051419:1316
4Presidente Prudente U201041515:2113
5Vocem U201012710:235
6Tupa U20100288:352
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Botafogo SP U201072143:823
2Sertaozinho U201061317:1719
3Comercial U201035226:2014
4Bandeirante U201032513:2111
5Francana U201031620:2810
6Inter de Bebedouro U201021714:397
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Velo Clube U201081122:525
2Ferroviaria U201062234:520
3XV de Jau U201053227:618
4Rio Claro U201042415:1414
5Sao Carlos U20101277:295
6CA Taquaritinga U20101092:483
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Uniao Sao Joao U201054114:619
2Internacional de Limeira U201045118:1617
3Piracicaba U201051418:1216
4Cosmopolitano Sports U201043310:815
5Rio Branco EC U201031613:1610
6Independente SP U20101279:245
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Ponte Preta U201071220:822
2Aguai U201052311:617
3Brasilis U201051415:2016
4Itapirense U201040613:2112
5Porto Football U201033415:1112
6Guacuano U201021711:197
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Ituano U201071225:1322
2Desportivo U201070325:1021
3Sao Bento U201061315:1119
4Sfera U201052325:1417
5Comercial FC - Tiete U201030711:199
6Elosport U201000104:380
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Uniao Suzano U201072116:623
2Taubate U201053222:1518
3Pinda U201042424:1214
4Sao Jose EC U201035216:1114
5CA Joseense U201033421:2112
6Uniao Mogi U20100194:381
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Bragantino U201071223:822
2Guarani U201063122:821
3SKA Brasil U201044214:1116
4Capivariano U201042418:2014
5Paulinia FU U201013612:276
6Metropolitano FC U20101186:214
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Sao Paulo U2010100038:430
2Referencia U201052318:1917
3Osasco Sporting U201051418:1016
4Osasco Audax U20102269:198
5GE Osasco U201022621:338
6Clube Vital U201021710:297
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Palmeiras U201091044:228
2Ibrachina U201071224:1122
3Portuguesa U201042413:1714
4Flamengo SP U20103168:2110
5Nacional SP U201024411:1310
6Guarulhos U20100195:411
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Corinthians U201072118:423
2Sao Caetano U201072112:423
3Agua Santa U201032511:1511
4Aster Itaqua U20103255:1111
5EC Sao Bernardo U20102357:109
6CA Juventus U20101366:156
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Santos U201081138:425
2Santo Andre U201071218:1622
3Portuguesa Santista U201052319:2017
4Maua FC U201050515:1515
5Jabaquara U20101369:186
6Mauaense U20100199:351