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Mauaense vs Barcelona SP

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Paulista A4 2018
Mauaense Logo

Mauaense

3 - 0
FT
Barcelona SP Logo

Barcelona SP

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Mauaense in this Paulista A4 2018 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mauaense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Mauaense
15%
Draws
0%
Barcelona SP
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mauaense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Mauaense lately — more wins on the board than Barcelona SP.
  • Win probability leans Mauaense's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Mauaense Clean Sheet 20%
Barcelona SP Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mauaense Barcelona SP
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 8 3
Draws 14 4
Losses 11 23
Goals Scored 0.97 0.47
Goals Conceded 1.15 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2026 Paulista B
Barcelona SP vs Mauaense
0:2
May 2, 2026 Paulista B
Mauaense vs Barcelona SP
1:0
Jun 9, 2023 Paulista A4
Barcelona SP vs Mauaense
0:0
May 6, 2023 Paulista A4
Mauaense vs Barcelona SP
1:1
Sep 11, 2021 Paulista A4
Mauaense vs Barcelona SP
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mauaense 85 / 100
Barcelona SP 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mauaense Barcelona SP

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mauaense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Barcelona SP has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Barcelona SP lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Mauaense's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Scoring Trends

Mauaense VS Barcelona SP
1.13 Goals Scored 0.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Mauaense

(Home)
20 Jun
Manthiqueira
2 : 1
Mauaense
13 Jun
Mauaense
0 : 1
Uniao Mogi
06 Jun
Barcelona SP
0 : 2
Mauaense
30 May
Maua FC
1 : 1
Mauaense
23 May
Mauaense
1 : 2
Itaqua
Page 1 of 7

Barcelona SP

(Away)
20 Jun
Maua FC
6 : 0
Barcelona SP
14 Jun
Barcelona SP
1 : 5
Manthiqueira
06 Jun
Barcelona SP
0 : 2
Mauaense
31 May
Itaqua
1 : 0
Barcelona SP
23 May
Barcelona SP
2 : 3
Uniao Mogi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Talentos 10 AC 14 9 3 2 24:12 30
2 Santacruzense 14 6 6 2 19:15 24
3 Vocem 14 7 3 4 16:9 24
4 Osvaldo Cruz 14 7 3 4 25:16 24
5 Andradina Esporte Clube 14 5 3 6 19:18 18
6 Tupa 14 3 5 6 7:11 14
7 Assisense 14 3 4 7 11:19 13
8 Gremio Prudente 14 0 5 9 12:33 5
Promotion - Paulista A4 2018 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter de Bebedouro 14 10 1 3 23:10 31
2 Bandeirante 14 8 4 2 22:11 28
3 America SP 14 6 2 6 19:21 20
4 Taquaritinga 14 5 4 5 19:21 19
5 Jose Bonifacio EC 14 5 2 7 17:21 17
6 Fernandopolis 14 4 3 7 8:11 15
7 Catanduva FC 14 3 4 7 12:20 13
8 Catanduvense 14 2 6 6 16:21 12
Promotion - Paulista A4 2018 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Comercial 14 9 5 0 34:5 32
2 Francana 14 8 4 2 30:7 28
3 Itapirense 14 7 5 2 19:12 26
4 Independente SP 14 7 4 3 22:9 25
5 XV de Jau 13 4 4 5 16:17 16
6 Brasilis 14 3 3 8 14:30 12
7 Jaguariuna 14 1 3 10 5:36 6
8 Sao-Carlense 13 1 2 10 6:30 5
Promotion - Paulista A4 2018 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guarulhos 14 10 2 2 23:10 32
2 Sao Jose EC 14 8 4 2 25:7 28
3 Paulista 14 8 3 3 26:8 27
4 Flamengo SP 14 8 3 3 22:12 27
5 Amparo SP 14 5 4 5 19:15 19
6 Jacarei FC 14 4 1 9 23:26 13
7 Uniao Mogi 14 3 2 9 8:25 11
8 Atletico Mogi 14 0 1 13 3:46 1
Promotion - Paulista A4 2018 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Primavera EC 14 8 3 3 23:7 27
2 Maua FC 14 8 3 3 25:10 27
3 AA Itarare 13 8 2 3 17:8 26
4 Elosport 14 8 2 4 20:12 26
5 Mauaense 14 5 3 6 14:17 18
6 Jabaquara 13 4 5 4 13:12 17
7 Barcelona SP 14 3 2 9 10:22 11
8 Guaruja 14 0 2 12 3:37 2
Promotion - Paulista A4 2018 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams