Sport Picks

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Mauaense vs Barcelona SP

Brazil Brazil

Paulista B
Our Tip

Match Events

58' Event
Gaiofatto G.
81'
Adrian F.

AI Match Summary

The Paulista B game between Mauaense and Barcelona SP finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mauaense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Mauaense
15%
Draws
0%
Barcelona SP
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mauaense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Mauaense carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Mauaense are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Mauaense Clean Sheet 68%
Barcelona SP Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mauaense Barcelona SP
Matches Played 36 32
Wins 8 4
Draws 14 4
Losses 14 24
Goals Scored 0.94 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.28 2.09
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2026 Paulista B
Barcelona SP vs Mauaense
0:2
May 2, 2026 Paulista B
Mauaense vs Barcelona SP
1:0
Jun 9, 2023 Paulista A4
Barcelona SP vs Mauaense
0:0
May 6, 2023 Paulista A4
Mauaense vs Barcelona SP
1:1
Sep 11, 2021 Paulista A4
Mauaense vs Barcelona SP
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mauaense Compare

Top Goalscorer Gaiofatto G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Barcelona SP Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mauaense 95 / 100
Barcelona SP 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mauaense Barcelona SP

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Barcelona SP's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 32 matches.

Barcelona SP lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Mauaense found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (36 games).

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Mauaense VS Barcelona SP
1.13 Goals Scored 0.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Mauaense

(Home)
20 Jun
Manthiqueira
2 : 1
Mauaense
13 Jun
Mauaense
0 : 1
Uniao Mogi
06 Jun
Barcelona SP
0 : 2
Mauaense
30 May
Maua FC
1 : 1
Mauaense
23 May
Mauaense
1 : 2
Itaqua
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Barcelona SP

(Away)
20 Jun
Maua FC
6 : 0
Barcelona SP
14 Jun
Barcelona SP
1 : 5
Manthiqueira
06 Jun
Barcelona SP
0 : 2
Mauaense
31 May
Itaqua
1 : 0
Barcelona SP
23 May
Barcelona SP
2 : 3
Uniao Mogi
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jose Bonifacio EC 10 6 4 0 17:6 22
2 America SP 10 5 4 1 13:7 19
3 Assisense 10 3 5 2 17:15 14
4 Tupa 10 4 1 5 14:16 13
5 Riopretano 10 1 4 5 9:16 7
6 Santa Fe SP 10 2 0 8 10:20 6
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independente SP 10 8 0 2 37:7 24
2 Matonense 10 7 1 2 28:10 22
3 Sao Carlos 10 4 3 3 19:11 15
4 Santacruzense 10 4 2 4 19:13 14
5 Mogi Mirim 10 4 0 6 15:15 12
6 Catanduvense 10 0 0 10 4:66 0
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flamengo SP 10 7 2 1 13:6 23
2 Paulinense 10 5 0 5 9:16 15
3 Audax-SP 10 5 1 4 15:9 13
4 Paulinia FU 10 3 1 6 11:14 10
5 Votoraty SP 10 2 1 7 12:19 7
6 Guarulhos 10 5 1 4 19:15 4
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Itaqua 10 8 1 1 21:6 25
2 Maua FC 10 4 4 2 20:15 16
3 Uniao Mogi 10 5 2 3 14:13 14
4 Manthiqueira 10 4 2 4 17:17 14
5 Mauaense 10 3 3 4 10:10 12
6 Barcelona SP 10 0 0 10 5:26 0
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)