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Mauaense vs Diadema - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A4 2014
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AI Match Summary

The Paulista A4 2014 game between Mauaense and Diadema finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Mauaense
15%
Draws
36%
Diadema
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mauaense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Diadema come out ahead of Mauaense on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Mauaense's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Paulista A4 2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Mauaense Clean Sheet 20%
Diadema Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mauaense Diadema
Matches Played 33 32
Wins 10 11
Draws 12 6
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.12 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.18 1.81
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2016 Paulista A4
Diadema vs Mauaense
1:4
Aug 6, 2016 Paulista A4
Mauaense vs Diadema
2:1
Jun 27, 2015 Paulista A4
Diadema vs Mauaense
2:3
Apr 25, 2015 Paulista A4
Mauaense vs Diadema
0:1
May 31, 2014 Paulista A4
Mauaense vs Diadema
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mauaense 85 / 100
Diadema 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mauaense Diadema

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mauaense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mauaense's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Diadema's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Difficult form: Diadema registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mauaense VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mauaense

(Home)
20 Jun
Manthiqueira
2 : 1
Mauaense
13 Jun
Mauaense
0 : 1
Uniao Mogi
06 Jun
Barcelona SP
0 : 2
Mauaense
30 May
Maua FC
1 : 1
Mauaense
23 May
Mauaense
1 : 2
Itaqua
Page 1 of 7

Diadema

(Away)
09 Jul
Diadema
2 : 1
Elosport
02 Jul
AA Itarare
7 : 0
Diadema
23 Jun
Diadema
2 : 5
Guarulhos
16 Jun
Diadema
1 : 2
SKA Brasil
10 Jun
Primavera EC
2 : 0
Diadema
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gremio Prudente 10 6 3 1 16:5 21
2 Bandeirante 10 5 1 4 12:13 16
3 Osvaldo Cruz 10 4 2 4 14:14 14
4 Vocem 10 4 2 4 12:10 14
5 Assisense 10 4 1 5 9:12 13
6 Presidente Prudente 10 1 3 6 8:17 6
Promotion - Paulista A4 2014 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olimpia FC 8 5 2 1 15:8 17
2 Barretos EC 8 3 4 1 10:7 13
3 Inter de Bebedouro 8 2 4 2 11:8 10
4 Fernandopolis 8 2 4 2 10:7 10
5 Tanabi 8 0 2 6 5:21 2
Promotion - Paulista A4 2014 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guariba 10 6 2 2 24:11 20
2 Pirassununguense 10 6 0 4 16:8 18
3 Uniao Sao Joao 10 5 3 2 14:8 18
4 Taquaritinga 10 5 2 3 11:11 17
5 XV de Jau 10 2 1 7 7:19 7
6 CA Lemense 10 2 0 8 10:25 6
Promotion - Paulista A4 2014 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Primavera EC 8 6 1 1 17:3 19
2 Paulinia 8 4 2 2 11:9 14
3 Sumare 8 2 3 3 10:9 9
4 SEV Hortolandia 8 2 1 5 11:21 7
5 Elosport 8 2 1 5 6:13 7
Promotion - Paulista A4 2014 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uniao Mogi 8 5 1 2 14:8 16
2 Lemense 8 5 0 3 16:11 15
3 Manthiqueira 8 4 1 3 14:8 13
4 Jacarei (Inactive) 8 2 2 4 6:14 8
5 Atletico Mogi 8 1 2 5 8:17 5
Promotion - Paulista A4 2014 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nacional SP 10 8 2 0 24:5 26
2 Taboao da Serra 10 5 1 4 14:10 16
3 Guaruja 10 4 3 3 19:14 15
4 Uniao Suzano 10 4 1 5 16:21 13
5 Guarulhos 10 4 0 6 10:14 12
6 ECUS SP 10 1 1 8 7:26 4
Promotion - Paulista A4 2014 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mauaense 10 6 4 0 12:5 22
2 Diadema 10 5 3 2 16:12 18
3 Portuguesa Santista 10 3 7 0 8:5 16
4 EC Sao Bernardo 10 4 1 5 10:9 13
5 Jabaquara 10 2 3 5 16:19 9
6 Sao Vicente 10 0 2 8 4:16 2
Promotion - Paulista A4 2014 (Second stage)