Sport Picks

Brazil

Paulista A4 2012

Mauaense

1 - 0

Guariba

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Paulista A4 2012 game between Mauaense and Guariba finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mauaense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%

Mauaense

15%

Draws

59%

Guariba

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Guariba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence

Look at the last few games and Guariba come out ahead of Mauaense on wins alone.
Model gives Mauaense a 36% chance of winning this.
Regular Paulista A4 2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%

Mauaense Clean Sheet 20%

Guariba Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Mauaense	Guariba
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	8	13
Draws	12	6
Losses	10	11
Goals Scored	0.97	1.7
Goals Conceded	1.1	1.57
Expected Goals (xG)	1.17	0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 5, 2012 Paulista A4

Guariba vs Mauaense

1:2

Jul 14, 2012 Paulista A4

Mauaense vs Guariba

1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mauaense 36 / 100

Guariba 33 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Mauaense Guariba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guariba let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Mauaense scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Mauaense has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Mauaense VS -

1.13 Goals Scored 0

0.75 Goals Conceded 0

50% Over 1.5 0%

25% Over 2.5 0%

25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mauaense

(Home)

20 Jun

Manthiqueira

2 : 1

Mauaense

13 Jun

Mauaense

0 : 1

Uniao Mogi

06 Jun

Barcelona SP

0 : 2

Mauaense

30 May

Maua FC

1 : 1

Mauaense

23 May

Mauaense

1 : 2

Itaqua

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Guariba

(Away)

21 Sept

Guariba

2 : 1

Paulinia

17 Sept

Portuguesa Santista

2 : 0

Guariba

13 Sept

Gremio Prudente

3 : 4

Guariba

07 Sept

Guariba

4 : 3

Gremio Prudente

03 Sept

Guariba

0 : 1

Portuguesa Santista

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