Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Paulista A4 2021 game between Mauaense and Guarulhos finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
20%
51%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Guarulhos
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Mauaense haven't matched Guarulhos's recent run of results.
- 51% — that's where the model lands on Guarulhos taking it.
- Regular Paulista A4 2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Mauaense Clean Sheet 16%
Guarulhos Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mauaense | Guarulhos |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 10 |
| Draws | 12 | 4 |
| Losses | 10 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 0.97 | 1.3 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 2.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 15, 2021 Paulista A4
Guarulhos vs Mauaense
1:2
Aug 25, 2021 Paulista A4
Mauaense vs Guarulhos
2:2
May 25, 2019 Paulista A4
Mauaense vs Guarulhos
0:0
Apr 14, 2019 Paulista A4
Guarulhos vs Mauaense
0:1
Jun 18, 2016 Paulista A4
Mauaense vs Guarulhos
5:3
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Mauaense 23 / 100
Guarulhos 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Mauaense Guarulhos
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Guarulhos Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.
Mauaense's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Defensive concern: Guarulhos conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.
Mauaense went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Mauaense VS Guarulhos
1.13 Goals Scored 2
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Mauaense
(Home) 20 Jun
Manthiqueira
2 : 1 Mauaense
13 Jun
Mauaense
0 : 1 Uniao Mogi
06 Jun
Barcelona SP
0 : 2 Mauaense
30 May
Maua FC
1 : 1 Mauaense
23 May
Mauaense
1 : 2 Itaqua
Page 1 of 6
13 Jun
Mauaense
0 : 1 Uniao Mogi
23 May
Mauaense
1 : 2 Itaqua
16 May
Mauaense
2 : 2 Manthiqueira
02 May
Mauaense
1 : 0 Barcelona SP
25 Apr
Mauaense
1 : 1 Maua FC
Page 1 of 3
Guarulhos
(Away) 20 Jun
Guarulhos
1 : 2 Paulinense
13 Jun
Votoraty SP
4 : 2 Guarulhos
05 Jun
Guarulhos
1 : 0 Paulinia FU
31 May
Guarulhos
1 : 0 Flamengo SP
24 May
Audax-SP
2 : 2 Guarulhos
Page 1 of 6
13 Jun
Votoraty SP
4 : 2 Guarulhos
24 May
Audax-SP
2 : 2 Guarulhos
17 May
Paulinense
1 : 7 Guarulhos
03 May
Paulinia FU
3 : 0 Guarulhos
25 Apr
Flamengo SP
2 : 0 Guarulhos
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Matonense | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 13:5 | 23 |
| 2 | Taquaritinga | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 15:8 | 17 |
| 3 | Catanduva FC | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12:11 | 15 |
| 4 | Inter de Bebedouro | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15:9 | 15 |
| 5 | Fernandopolis | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 13:20 | 7 |
| 6 | America SP | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8:23 | 5 |
Promotion - Paulista A4 2021 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | XV de Jau | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 12:7 | 23 |
| 2 | Gremio Prudente | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 15:10 | 17 |
| 3 | Vocem | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 10:7 | 16 |
| 4 | Assisense | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 9:11 | 13 |
| 5 | Santacruzense | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7:8 | 9 |
| 6 | Osvaldo Cruz | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7:17 | 5 |
Promotion - Paulista A4 2021 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rio Branco SP | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 18:8 | 23 |
| 2 | Independente SP | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12:9 | 18 |
| 3 | Sao-Carlense | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 12:6 | 17 |
| 4 | Sao Carlos | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9:13 | 11 |
| 5 | Itapirense | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 5:12 | 6 |
| 6 | Mogi Mirim | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 3:11 | 6 |
Promotion - Paulista A4 2021 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo SP | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 18:5 | 26 |
| 2 | Paulista | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18:7 | 18 |
| 3 | Colorado Caieiras | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 12:13 | 12 |
| 4 | Mauaense | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 14:22 | 11 |
| 5 | Guarulhos | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 14:21 | 9 |
| 6 | Barcelona SP | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 13:21 | 6 |
Promotion - Paulista A4 2021 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 5)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Uniao Suzano | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 24:3 | 26 |
| 2 | Maua FC | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 23:9 | 21 |
| 3 | Uniao Mogi | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 15:10 | 13 |
| 4 | ECUS SP | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 12:22 | 13 |
| 5 | Manthiqueira | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13:12 | 12 |
| 6 | Atletico Mogi | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6:37 | 0 |
Promotion - Paulista A4 2021 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
