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Mauaense vs SKA Brasil - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A4 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mauaense in this Paulista A4 2022 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mauaense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Mauaense
35%
Draws
45%
SKA Brasil
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: SKA Brasil

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to SKA Brasil lately — more wins on the board than Mauaense.
  • SKA Brasil are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Mauaense Clean Sheet 20%
SKA Brasil Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mauaense SKA Brasil
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 14
Draws 12 8
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 0.97 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.1 0.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 28, 2022 Paulista A4
SKA Brasil vs Mauaense
0:0
Apr 24, 2022 Paulista A4
Mauaense vs SKA Brasil
3:2
Nov 3, 2020 Paulista A4
Mauaense vs SKA Brasil
1:1
Oct 17, 2020 Paulista A4
SKA Brasil vs Mauaense
1:3
Sep 2, 2017 Paulista A4
SKA Brasil vs Mauaense
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mauaense 28 / 100
SKA Brasil 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mauaense SKA Brasil

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SKA Brasil Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Mauaense scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

SKA Brasil let in goals in 53% of their last 30 matches.

Solid form: Mauaense remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mauaense VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mauaense

(Home)
20 Jun
Manthiqueira
2 : 1
Mauaense
13 Jun
Mauaense
0 : 1
Uniao Mogi
06 Jun
Barcelona SP
0 : 2
Mauaense
30 May
Maua FC
1 : 1
Mauaense
23 May
Mauaense
1 : 2
Itaqua
Page 1 of 6

SKA Brasil

(Away)
28 Apr
Francana
0 : 0
SKA Brasil
20 Apr
SKA Brasil
0 : 0
Francana
13 Apr
Sao-Carlense
1 : 1
SKA Brasil
06 Apr
SKA Brasil
1 : 0
Sao-Carlense
30 Mar
Nacional SP
0 : 2
SKA Brasil
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Penapolense 10 6 3 1 23:6 21
2 Inter de Bebedouro 10 6 3 1 18:6 21
3 Catanduva FC 10 6 2 2 25:11 20
4 Fernandopolis 10 2 2 6 11:22 8
5 America SP 10 2 2 6 14:24 8
6 Andradina Esporte Clube 10 2 0 8 12:34 6
Promotion - Paulista A4 2022 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gremio Prudente 10 7 3 0 17:4 24
2 AA Itarare 10 3 6 1 13:8 15
3 Osvaldo Cruz 10 3 5 2 12:10 14
4 Vocem 10 3 4 3 8:12 13
5 Assisense 10 2 5 3 9:10 11
6 Santacruzense 10 0 1 9 4:19 1
Promotion - Paulista A4 2022 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Taquaritinga 10 7 0 3 17:8 21
2 Sao-Carlense 10 6 2 2 17:5 20
3 XV de Jau 10 5 3 2 16:7 18
4 Francana 10 3 4 3 8:8 13
5 Sao Carlos 10 2 4 4 6:14 10
6 Batatais 10 0 1 9 7:29 1
Promotion - Paulista A4 2022 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Itapirense 10 7 2 1 20:10 23
2 Rio Branco SP 10 6 1 3 15:10 19
3 Paulista 10 5 3 2 15:8 18
4 Amparo SP 10 3 3 4 15:12 12
5 Independente SP 10 3 2 5 8:9 11
6 Uniao Sao Joao 10 0 1 9 3:27 1
Promotion - Paulista A4 2022 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manthiqueira 10 6 2 2 26:12 20
2 Jacarei FC 10 6 1 3 25:6 19
3 Flamengo SP 10 5 4 1 18:11 19
4 Uniao Mogi 10 4 2 4 25:12 14
5 Guarulhos 10 2 4 4 11:18 10
6 Atletico Mogi 10 0 1 9 5:51 1
Promotion - Paulista A4 2022 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maua FC 10 5 3 2 12:9 18
2 SKA Brasil 10 5 2 3 19:8 17
3 Colorado Caieiras 10 4 5 1 16:10 17
4 Jabaquara 10 4 3 3 10:10 15
5 Mauaense 10 2 4 4 11:16 10
6 ECUS SP 10 1 1 8 12:27 4
Promotion - Paulista A4 2022 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams