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Mauaense vs Uniao Mogi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Paulista B
Mauaense Logo

Mauaense

0 - 1
FT
Uniao Mogi Logo

Uniao Mogi

Our Tip

Match Events

90'
Vinicius Dorneles
90' Event
Vitinho
(Penalty)
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Uniao Mogi in this Paulista B matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Uniao Mogi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Mauaense
15%
Draws
51%
Uniao Mogi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Uniao Mogi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Uniao Mogi at 1.23 per game, Mauaense at 0.97.
  • Model gives Mauaense a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Paulista B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Mauaense Clean Sheet 20%
Uniao Mogi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mauaense Uniao Mogi
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 8 8
Draws 12 7
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 0.97 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.16 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 13, 2026 Paulista B
Mauaense vs Uniao Mogi
0:1
May 10, 2026 Paulista B
Uniao Mogi vs Mauaense
0:1
May 24, 2025 Paulista B
Mauaense vs Uniao Mogi
3:1
Apr 19, 2025 Paulista B
Uniao Mogi vs Mauaense
1:1
May 25, 2024 Paulista B
Uniao Mogi vs Mauaense
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mauaense 36 / 100
Uniao Mogi 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mauaense Uniao Mogi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Uniao Mogi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Mauaense's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Uniao Mogi's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Mauaense VS Uniao Mogi
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Mauaense

(Home)
20 Jun
Manthiqueira
2 : 1
Mauaense
13 Jun
Mauaense
0 : 1
Uniao Mogi
06 Jun
Barcelona SP
0 : 2
Mauaense
30 May
Maua FC
1 : 1
Mauaense
23 May
Mauaense
1 : 2
Itaqua
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Uniao Mogi

(Away)
18 Jul
Itaqua
1 : 0
Uniao Mogi
11 Jul
Uniao Mogi
1 : 4
Itaqua
04 Jul
Maua FC
0 : 3
Uniao Mogi
27 Jun
Uniao Mogi
2 : 3
Maua FC
20 Jun
Uniao Mogi
2 : 1
Itaqua
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jose Bonifacio EC 10 6 4 0 17:6 22
2 America SP 10 5 4 1 13:7 19
3 Assisense 10 3 5 2 17:15 14
4 Tupa 10 4 1 5 14:16 13
5 Riopretano 10 1 4 5 9:16 7
6 Santa Fe SP 10 2 0 8 10:20 6
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independente SP 10 8 0 2 37:7 24
2 Matonense 10 7 1 2 28:10 22
3 Sao Carlos 10 4 3 3 19:11 15
4 Santacruzense 10 4 2 4 19:13 14
5 Mogi Mirim 10 4 0 6 15:15 12
6 Catanduvense 10 0 0 10 4:66 0
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flamengo SP 10 7 2 1 13:6 23
2 Paulinense 10 5 0 5 9:16 15
3 Audax-SP 10 5 1 4 15:9 13
4 Paulinia FU 10 3 1 6 11:14 10
5 Votoraty SP 10 2 1 7 12:19 7
6 Guarulhos 10 5 1 4 19:15 4
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Itaqua 10 8 1 1 21:6 25
2 Maua FC 10 4 4 2 20:15 16
3 Uniao Mogi 10 5 2 3 14:13 14
4 Manthiqueira 10 4 2 4 17:17 14
5 Mauaense 10 3 3 4 10:10 12
6 Barcelona SP 10 0 0 10 5:26 0
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)