Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mauritania U17 vs Libya U17

Africa Africa

CAF African Championship U17 2015
Sat, Jun 28, 2014
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the CAF African Championship U17 2015. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Mauritania U17 have averaged 0.67 scored and 1.5 conceded recently, against Libya U17's 1.07 scored and 2.47 conceded. Past meetings favor Mauritania U17 slightly — 0-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 28, 2014, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 0.89 vs 0.66, favoring Libya U17. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Mauritania U17
20%
Draws
16%
Libya U17
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mauritania U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Libya U17 come out ahead of Mauritania U17 on wins alone.
  • Model gives Mauritania U17 a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Libya U17 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Mauritania U17 Clean Sheet 20%
Libya U17 Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mauritania U17 Libya U17
Matches Played 6 15
Wins 1 3
Draws 1 2
Losses 4 10
Goals Scored 0.67 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.5 2.47
Expected Goals (xG) 0.89 0.66
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2014 Africa Cup of Nations U17
Mauritania U17 vs Libya U17
0:0
Jun 14, 2014 Africa Cup of Nations U17
Libya U17 vs Mauritania U17
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mauritania U17 85 / 100
Libya U17 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mauritania U17 Libya U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mauritania U17 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Libya U17 has conceded goals in 93% of their last 15 outings.

Libya U17 lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Mauritania U17 found the back of the net in 33% of recent matches (6 games).

Games between these two average 0.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Mauritania U17 VS Libya U17
0.14 Goals Scored 0.75
0.57 Goals Conceded 1.63
14% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mauritania U17

(Home)
14 Jun
Tunisia U17
0 : 0
Mauritania U17
11 Jun
Algeria U17
1 : 0
Mauritania U17
18 Aug
Tunisia U17
1 : 0
Mauritania U17
02 Jul
Morocco U17
2 : 0
Mauritania U17
24 Jun
Mauritania U17
1 : 0
Morocco U17
Page 1 of 2

Libya U17

(Away)
23 Nov
Egypt U17
7 : 1
Libya U17
20 Nov
Morocco U17
2 : 0
Libya U17
17 Nov
Libya U17
2 : 3
Algeria U17
14 Nov
Tunisia U17
2 : 1
Libya U17
26 Apr
Tunisia U17
1 : 1
Libya U17
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Zambia U17 -
TBD -
TBD -
Botswana U17 -
Rwanda U17 -
TBD -
Seychelles U17 1
Uganda U17 5
Gabon U17 -
TBD -
TBD -
Ethiopia U17 -
D.R. Congo U17 -
Burundi U17 -
TBD -
Nigeria U17 -
Guinea U17 -
Gambia U17 -
TBD -
Morocco U17 -
Senegal U17 -
TBD -
Guinea-Bissau U17 -
Togo U17 -
Cameroon U17 -
Central Africa U17 -
TBD -
Burkina Faso U17 -
South Sudan U17 -
Kenya U17 -
TBD -
Ghana U17 -
Angola U17 -
TBD -
Namibia U17 1
Mozambique U17 2
Libya U17 -
Mauritania U17 -
TBD -
Ivory Coast U17 -
Benin U17 -
TBD -
TBD -
Mali U17 -
Sierra Leone U17 -
Liberia U17 -
TBD -
Tunisia U17 -
South Africa U17 -
TBD -
TBD -
Tanzania U17 -
Congo U17 -
TBD -
Sudan U17 3
Egypt U17 7
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
Zambia U17 6
Botswana U17 0
Rwanda U17 2
Uganda U17 7
Gabon U17 3
Ethiopia U17 0
D.R. Congo U17 0
Nigeria U17 5
Guinea U17 3
Morocco U17 1
Senegal U17 1
Togo U17 1
Cameroon U17 2
Burkina Faso U17 0
South Sudan U17 -
Ghana U17 -
Angola U17 3
Mozambique U17 2
Libya U17 0
Ivory Coast U17 7
Benin U17 1
Mali U17 0
Sierra Leone U17 -
Tunisia U17 -
South Africa U17 4
Tanzania U17 0
Congo U17 1
Egypt U17 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
Zambia U17 4
Uganda U17 1
Gabon U17 2
Nigeria U17 6
Guinea U17 4
Togo U17 0
Cameroon U17 4
Ghana U17 6
Angola U17 1
Ivory Coast U17 4
Mali U17 5
Tunisia U17 1
South Africa U17 4
Egypt U17 3
TBD -
TBD -