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Mauritania U20 vs Villarreal U20

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COTIF Tournament 2017
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AI Match Summary

Mauritania U20 play Villarreal U20 in the COTIF Tournament 2017. Mauritania U20 are favorites here. Recently, Mauritania U20 averaged 1.1 goals scored and 2.13 conceded. Villarreal U20 averaged 0.64 goals scored and 1.91 conceded. In past meetings, Mauritania U20 won 0, Villarreal U20 won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Aug 5, 2017 ended 3:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.88 for Mauritania U20 and 1.00 for Villarreal U20. This points to a Mauritania U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Mauritania U20
20%
Draws
24%
Villarreal U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mauritania U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

84% / High Confidence
  • Mauritania U20 picked up more points recently compared to Villarreal U20.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.88 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 57%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 83%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%
Mauritania U20 Clean Sheet 23%
Villarreal U20 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 75%
Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mauritania U20 Villarreal U20
Matches Played 30 11
Wins 8 1
Draws 6 2
Losses 16 8
Goals Scored 1.1 0.64
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.91
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 5, 2017 COTIF Tournament
Mauritania U20 vs Villarreal U20
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mauritania U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Tanji H.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Salem M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Villarreal U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Diaz N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hernaiz Daschner L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.23
Avg xA / game 0.14

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mauritania U20 55 / 100
Villarreal U20 24 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mauritania U20 Villarreal U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mauritania U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Mauritania U20 & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +16.5%
2.08
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.7%
1.96
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Mauritania U20 attacking → ← attacking Villarreal U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mauritania U20 scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Villarreal U20 let in goals in 82% of their last 11 matches.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Mauritania U20 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Villarreal U20 lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

30 Points in last 5 5
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 0.25
1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Atl. Madrid U20430113:29
2Levante U2042112:67
3Russia U2042024:56
4Mauritania U2041216:85
5Villarreal U2040135:91
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Valencia U2042114:37
2Morocco U2041305:36
3Comunidad Valencian U2042022:46
4Sevilla U2041123:34
5Santos U2041122:34