Sport Picks
Mauritania vs Burkina Faso
Africa
African Nations Championship Benjamin Mkapa National Stadium 
AI Match Summary
Mauritania play Burkina Faso in the African Nations Championship. It looks like a close match. Recently, Mauritania averaged 0.62 goals scored and 1 conceded. Burkina Faso averaged 1.83 goals scored and 1.07 conceded. In past meetings, Mauritania won 1, Burkina Faso won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Aug 13, 2025 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.69 for Mauritania and 1.69 for Burkina Faso. This points to a Burkina Faso double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Mauritania picked up more points recently compared to Burkina Faso.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.69 vs 1.69 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mauritania | Burkina Faso |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 26 | 29 |
| Wins | 6 | 16 |
| Draws | 10 | 4 |
| Losses | 10 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 0.62 | 1.83 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.38 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.38 | 1.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Mauritania scored in 50% of their last 26 games.
Burkina Faso let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.
Games between these two average 1.60 goals.
Mauritania went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Burkina Faso lost 2 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kenya | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 10 |
| 2 | Morocco | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:3 | 9 |
| 3 | D.R. Congo | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 4 | Angola | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:6 | 4 |
| 5 | Zambia | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:8 | 0 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tanzania | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5:1 | 10 |
| 2 | Madagascar | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | 7 |
| 3 | Mauritania | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2:1 | 7 |
| 4 | Burkina Faso | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:7 | 3 |
| 5 | Central Africa | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:7 | 1 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Uganda | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:6 | 7 |
| 2 | Algeria | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5:2 | 6 |
| 3 | South Africa | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6:5 | 6 |
| 4 | Guinea | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:6 | 4 |
| 5 | Niger | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0:3 | 2 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sudan | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:1 | 5 |
| 2 | Senegal | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | 5 |
| 3 | Nigeria | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | 3 |
| 4 | Congo | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:4 | 2 |