Sport Picks
Mauritania vs Burkina Faso - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Africa
African Nations Championship Benjamin Mkapa National Stadium, Dar es Salaam 
Match Events
32'
32'
Malo P.
41'
41'
Toure A.
45'
45'
Diop A.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
Mauritania in this African Nations Championship matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mauritania.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
41%
30%
29%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mauritania
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
41%
/ Low Confidence
- Burkina Faso have won more games recently than Mauritania.
- Mauritania are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Mauritania Clean Sheet 68%
Burkina Faso Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mauritania | Burkina Faso |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 26 | 29 |
| Wins | 7 | 15 |
| Draws | 10 | 4 |
| Losses | 9 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 0.77 | 1.72 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.96 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 13, 2025 African Nations Championship
Mauritania vs Burkina Faso
1:0
Jan 16, 2024 Africa Cup of Nations
Burkina Faso vs Mauritania
1:0
Oct 17, 2023 Friendly International
Mauritania vs Burkina Faso
1:2
Dec 30, 2021 Friendly International
Mauritania vs Burkina Faso
0:0
Sep 28, 2019 WAFU Cup of Nations
Burkina Faso vs Mauritania
2:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Mauritania 95 / 100
Burkina Faso 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Mauritania Burkina Faso
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Mauritania Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Burkina Faso's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.
Games between these two average 1.60 goals.
Recent resilience: Mauritania stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Mauritania's goal record stands at 58% scoring rate across 26 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Mauritania VS Burkina Faso
0.75 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Mauritania
(Home) 29 Sept
Benin
2 : 1 Mauritania
24 Sept
Mauritania
3 : 1 Central Africa
08 Jun
Niger
0 : 1 Mauritania
05 Jun
Angola
1 : 1 Mauritania
27 Mar
Argentina
2 : 1 Mauritania
Page 1 of 6
24 Sept
Mauritania
3 : 1 Central Africa
25 Nov
Mauritania
0 : 2 Kuwait
09 Sept
Mauritania
0 : 0 South Sudan
05 Sept
Mauritania
2 : 0 Togo
13 Aug
Mauritania
1 : 0 Burkina Faso
Page 1 of 2
Burkina Faso
(Away) 04 Oct
Argentina
7 : 0 Burkina Faso
28 Sept
Central Africa
0 : 1 Burkina Faso
25 Sept
Burkina Faso
1 : 1 Benin
09 Jun
Belarus
2 : 2 Burkina Faso
05 Jun
Russia
3 : 0 Burkina Faso
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Argentina
7 : 0 Burkina Faso
28 Sept
Central Africa
0 : 1 Burkina Faso
09 Jun
Belarus
2 : 2 Burkina Faso
05 Jun
Russia
3 : 0 Burkina Faso
06 Jan
Ivory Coast
3 : 0 Burkina Faso
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kenya | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 10 |
| 2 | Morocco | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:3 | 9 |
| 3 | D.R. Congo | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 4 | Angola | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:6 | 4 |
| 5 | Zambia | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:8 | 0 |
Promotion - African Nations Championship (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tanzania | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5:1 | 10 |
| 2 | Madagascar | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | 7 |
| 3 | Mauritania | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2:1 | 7 |
| 4 | Burkina Faso | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:7 | 3 |
| 5 | Central Africa | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:7 | 1 |
Promotion - African Nations Championship (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Uganda | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:6 | 7 |
| 2 | Algeria | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5:2 | 6 |
| 3 | South Africa | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6:5 | 6 |
| 4 | Guinea | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:6 | 4 |
| 5 | Niger | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0:3 | 2 |
Promotion - African Nations Championship (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sudan | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:1 | 5 |
| 2 | Senegal | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | 5 |
| 3 | Nigeria | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | 3 |
| 4 | Congo | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:4 | 2 |
Promotion - African Nations Championship (Play Offs)
