Sport Picks

Mauritania vs Central Africa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Africa

Africa Cup of Nations Stade Larbi Zaouli, Casablanca

Mauritania

3 - 1

Central Africa

Our Tip

Match Events

Yapende R. M.

29'

Quarshie E.

31'

Youfeigane D.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-1. This leg finished 3-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%

Mauritania

20%

Draws

29%

Central Africa

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mauritania

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence

Form's been kind to Mauritania lately — more wins on the board than Central Africa.
Mauritania are the model's pick here, at 90%.
Mauritania have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Mauritania, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
These two have met 5 times recently and Mauritania have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 68%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%

Mauritania Clean Sheet 68%

Central Africa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Mauritania	Central Africa
Matches Played	26	27
Wins	7	5
Draws	10	5
Losses	9	17
Goals Scored	0.77	0.74
Goals Conceded	0.96	1.93
Expected Goals (xG)	1.34	0.98
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 24, 2026 Africa Cup of Nations

Mauritania vs Central Africa

3:1

Aug 9, 2025 African Nations Championship

Central Africa vs Mauritania

0:1

Jun 6, 2025 Friendly International

Central Africa vs Mauritania

2:1

Mar 30, 2021 Africa Cup of Nations

Central Africa vs Mauritania

0:1

Nov 19, 2019 Africa Cup of Nations

Mauritania vs Central Africa

2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mauritania Compare

Top Goalscorer Camara D.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Diallo M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.03

Avg xA / game 0.67

Central Africa Compare

Top Goalscorer Koyalipou G.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.89

Avg xA / game 0.54

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mauritania 95 / 100

Central Africa 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Mauritania Central Africa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mauritania Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Central Africa has conceded goals in 85% of their last 27 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Mauritania has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Central Africa's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Mauritania VS Central Africa

0.25 Goals Scored 0.71

1.25 Goals Conceded 2.43

50% Over 1.5 86%

25% Over 2.5 57%

13% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Mauritania

(Home)

29 Sept

Benin

2 : 1

Mauritania

24 Sept

Mauritania

3 : 1

Central Africa

08 Jun

Niger

0 : 1

Mauritania

05 Jun

Angola

1 : 1

Mauritania

27 Mar

Argentina

2 : 1

Mauritania

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Central Africa

(Away)

28 Sept

Central Africa

0 : 1

Burkina Faso

24 Sept

Mauritania

3 : 1

Central Africa

09 Jun

Angola

3 : 0

Central Africa

05 Jun

Central Africa

1 : 1

Togo

12 Oct

Chad

2 : 3

Central Africa

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