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Mauritania vs Liberia

World World

Friendly International Stade Pere-Jego, Casablanca
Tue, Jun 9, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mauritania host Liberia in the Friendly International. Little to choose between these two on current form. Mauritania have averaged 0.76 scored and 0.92 conceded recently, against Liberia's 1 scored and 1.58 conceded. Past meetings favor Mauritania slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 9, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (0.69 - 0.76) back Mauritania to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Mauritania
20%
Draws
29%
Liberia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mauritania

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Mauritania lately — more wins on the board than Liberia.
  • Model gives Mauritania a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Mauritania Clean Sheet 20%
Liberia Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mauritania Liberia
Matches Played 25 24
Wins 7 6
Draws 10 7
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 0.76 1
Goals Conceded 0.92 1.58
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 9, 2026 Friendly International
Mauritania vs Liberia
0:0
Mar 27, 2026 Friendly International
Liberia vs Mauritania
0:0
Jun 11, 2021 Friendly International
Mauritania vs Liberia
1:0
Jul 23, 2017 African Nations Championship
Mauritania vs Liberia
0:1
Jul 16, 2017 African Nations Championship
Liberia vs Mauritania
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mauritania 58 / 100
Liberia 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mauritania Liberia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mauritania Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Liberia conceded in 92% of 24 recent games.

Solid form: Mauritania remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: Liberia registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Mauritania's goal record stands at 56% scoring rate across 25 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Mauritania VS Liberia
0.5 Goals Scored 0.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 38%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mauritania

(Home)
24 Sept
Mauritania
3 : 1
Central Africa
08 Jun
Niger
0 : 1
Mauritania
05 Jun
Angola
1 : 1
Mauritania
27 Mar
Argentina
2 : 1
Mauritania
25 Nov
Mauritania
0 : 2
Kuwait
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Liberia

(Away)
25 Sept
Rwanda
3 : 1
Liberia
09 Jun
Liberia
3 : 1
Sierra Leone
06 Jun
Sierra Leone
1 : 0
Liberia
31 Mar
Liberia
2 : 2
Libya
27 Mar
Benin
1 : 0
Liberia
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