Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mauritania vs Mali

World World

Friendly International 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2022 game between Mauritania and Mali finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mauritania.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Mauritania
30%
Draws
39%
Mali
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mali

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Mauritania haven't matched Mali's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Mauritania's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Friendly International 2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61.4%
Mauritania Clean Sheet 20%
Mali Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mauritania Mali
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 6 12
Draws 10 11
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 0.59 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.04 0.53
Expected Goals (xG) 0.44 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 29, 2024 African Nations Championship
Mali vs Mauritania
0:0
Dec 22, 2024 African Nations Championship
Mauritania vs Mali
1:0
Mar 22, 2024 Friendly International
Mauritania vs Mali
0:2
Jan 24, 2023 African Nations Championship
Mauritania vs Mali
1:0
Aug 18, 2022 Friendly International
Mauritania vs Mali
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mauritania 40 / 100
Mali 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mauritania Mali

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mauritania Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mauritania found the back of the net in 48% of recent matches (27 games).

Mali's defensive record shows goals conceded in 43% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 1.20 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Mauritania remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mauritania VS Mali
0.25 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Mauritania

(Home)
08 Jun
Niger
0 : 1
Mauritania
05 Jun
Angola
1 : 1
Mauritania
27 Mar
Argentina
2 : 1
Mauritania
25 Nov
Mauritania
0 : 2
Kuwait
15 Nov
Libya
1 : 0
Mauritania
Page 1 of 6

Mali

(Away)
04 Jun
Iran
2 : 0
Mali
31 Mar
Russia
0 : 0
Mali
09 Jan
Mali
0 : 1
Senegal
03 Jan
Mali
2 : 1
Tunisia
29 Dec
Comoros
0 : 0
Mali
Page 1 of 6