Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mauritius vs Somalia

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations Cote d'Or National Sports Complex, St Pierre
Tue, Mar 31, 2026
0 - 1
03:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Awad M.
(Penalty)
1' Event
Rose L.
(Penalty)
2' Event
Akram I.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. This leg finished 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Mauritius
30%
Draws
58%
Somalia
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Somalia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Mauritius at 0.62 per game, Somalia at 0.43.
  • Model gives Somalia a 58% chance of winning this.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Somalia, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22.4%
Mauritius Clean Sheet 25%
Somalia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mauritius Somalia
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 4 4
Draws 9 5
Losses 16 21
Goals Scored 0.62 0.43
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 31, 2026 Africa Cup of Nations
Mauritius vs Somalia
0:1
Mar 27, 2026 Africa Cup of Nations
Somalia vs Mauritius
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mauritius 17 / 100
Somalia 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mauritius Somalia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Somalia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Somalia let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Mauritius scored in 38% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 0.50 goals per match.

Mauritius went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mauritius VS Somalia
0.5 Goals Scored 0.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mauritius

(Home)
31 Mar
Mauritius
0 : 1
Somalia
27 Mar
Somalia
0 : 0
Mauritius
13 Oct
Mauritius
0 : 0
Libya
08 Oct
Mauritius
0 : 2
Cameroon
09 Sept
Angola
3 : 1
Mauritius
Page 1 of 6

Somalia

(Away)
31 Mar
Mauritius
0 : 1
Somalia
27 Mar
Somalia
0 : 0
Mauritius
26 Nov
Oman
1 : 0
Somalia
21 Nov
Bahrain
0 : 1
Somalia
17 Nov
Bahrain
1 : 2
Somalia
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Djibouti 1
South Sudan 4
Chad 0
Burundi 8
Somalia 1
Mauritius 0
Seychelles 1
Lesotho 2
Eritrea 4
Eswatini 1
Sao Tome and Principe 0
Ethiopia 4